JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SMBK

SmartFinancial, Inc.

63
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

SMBK has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

SMBK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

SMBK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SMBK.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over SMBK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SMBK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.2x12x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.2x12x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$34.51-28%
Fair12x$45.28-5.4%
Forward12x$47.88—
Current13x$47.88—
Expensive15x$54.93+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMBK's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

SMBK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

SMBK has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails SMBK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMBK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$61.83
Downside-12%$42.08

Calculated from the latest close: $47.88 on Nov 12.

SMBK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

SMBK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $1.56Q2 2024: $1.52Q3 2024: $1.94Q4 2024: $2.14Q1 2025: $2.26Q2 2025: $2.47Q3 2025: $2.74Q4 2025: $2.98Q1 2026: $3.12Q2 2026: $3.39Q3 2026: $3.68Forward: $4.01
Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $1.56Q2 2024: $1.52Q3 2024: $1.94Q4 2024: $2.14Q1 2025: $2.26Q2 2025: $2.47Q3 2025: $2.74Q4 2025: $2.98Q1 2026: $3.12Q2 2026: $3.39Q3 2026: $3.68Forward: $4.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.01+9%
Q3 2026$3.68+34%
Q2 2026$3.39+37%
Q1 2026$3.12+38%
Q4 2025$2.98+39%
Q3 2025$2.74+41%
Q2 2025$2.47+63%
Q1 2025$2.26+45%
Q4 2024$2.14+27%

SMBK has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMBK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$57.5M+13%
Q2 2026$56M+14%
Q1 2026$53.8M+15%
Q4 2025$53.3M+14%
Q3 2025$51.1M+16%
Q2 2025$49.2M+22%
Q1 2025$46.8M+17%
Q4 2024$46.8M+20%

SMBK has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

SMBK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: −$13M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: −$13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$13.1M-179%
Q2 2026$22.5M+70%
Q1 2026$10.2M-24%
Q4 2025$16.2M+5.4%
Q3 2025$16.6M+46%
Q2 2025$13.2M-14%
Q1 2025$13.4M+221%
Q4 2024$15.4M+62%

SMBK has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over SMBK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMBK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+32.8K shares
1 year+0.5%+85.7K shares
3 years+0.4%+75.9K shares
5 years+8.3%+1.3M shares
Available history+21%+2.9M shares

SMBK has 17M diluted shares, up 0.5% from a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

SMBK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -7.8xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -7.5xQ2 2025: -6.0xQ3 2025: -8.5xQ4 2025: -5.3xQ1 2026: -4.8xQ2 2026: -4.9xQ3 2026: -4.6x
Q4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -7.8xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -7.5xQ2 2025: -6.0xQ3 2025: -8.5xQ4 2025: -5.3xQ1 2026: -4.8xQ2 2026: -4.9xQ3 2026: -4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-7.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.2xNet Cash

SMBK has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

SMBK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.7Neutral
Stochastic9.2Oversold

SMBK's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SMBK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSMBKSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.1% below
PE %58635 pts below

SMBK has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over SMBK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMBK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.53.2% below
20 week MA$50.14.5% below
50 week MA$44.47.8% above
100 week MA$39.023% above
200 week MA$31.851% above

SMBK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 51% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

SMBK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.7$18.0-24%
2021$18.0$27.8+54%
2022$27.8$27.80%
2023$27.8$24.5-12%
2024$24.5$31.1+27%
2025$31.1$37.8+22%
2026 YTD$37.8$47.9+27%

SMBK has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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