JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SBSI

Southside Bancshares, Inc.

65
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

SBSI has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

SBSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

SBSI's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SBSI.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

SBSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.1x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.1x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$32.86-6%
Forward10x$34.98—
Current11x$34.98—
Fair12x$39.16+12%
Expensive15x$48.19+38%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SBSI has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

SBSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

SBSI has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SBSI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SBSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$42.49
Downside-11%$31.13

Calculated from the latest close: $34.98 on Nov 12.

SBSI trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over SBSI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.82Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.70Q3 2024: $2.78Q4 2024: $2.91Q1 2025: $2.91Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.36Q2 2026: $2.54Q3 2026: $3.31Forward: $3.51
Q4 2023: $2.82Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.70Q3 2024: $2.78Q4 2024: $2.91Q1 2025: $2.91Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.36Q2 2026: $2.54Q3 2026: $3.31Forward: $3.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.51+6%
Q3 2026$3.31+44%
Q2 2026$2.54-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.36-19%
Q4 2025$2.29-21%
Q3 2025$2.30-17%
Q2 2025$2.82+4.4%
Q1 2025$2.91+7.8%
Q4 2024$2.91+3.2%

SBSI earned $3.31 per share over the past year, up 44% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over SBSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $70MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $74M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $70MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $74M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$74M+69%
Q2 2026$71.3M+7.4%
Q1 2026$70.3M+9.7%
Q4 2025$62.8M-4.8%
Q3 2025$43.7M-31%
Q2 2025$66.4M+1.9%
Q1 2025$64.1M+1.6%
Q4 2024$66M+16%

SBSI's revenue is growing: $74M last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

SBSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$58MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: −$58MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$65.4M+75%
Q2 2026$27.5M+$29.5M
Q1 2026$45M+109%
Q4 2025$16.6M-51%
Q3 2025$37.4M+$51.5M
Q2 2025-$2M-113%
Q1 2025$21.5M-61%
Q4 2024$33.7M+$92.2M

SBSI has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over SBSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SBSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+28K shares
1 year-0.8%-230K shares
3 years-2.1%-638K shares
5 years-8.1%-2.7M shares
Available history-12%-4M shares

SBSI has 30M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

SBSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.6xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: -3.6xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

SBSI has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

SBSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.5Neutral
Stochastic77.9Neutral

SBSI's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SBSI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSBSISector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %276336 pts below

SBSI has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

SBSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.18.8% above
20 week MA$32.77% above
50 week MA$32.57.8% above
100 week MA$31.013% above
200 week MA$30.913% above

SBSI has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

SBSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.1$31.3-15%
2021$31.3$41.3+32%
2022$41.3$35.5-14%
2023$35.5$31.3-12%
2024$31.3$31.8+1.6%
2025$31.8$31.3-1.7%
2026 YTD$31.3$35.0+12%

SBSI has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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