JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SAN

Banco Santander, S.A.

58
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SAN has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

SAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SAN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SAN.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over SAN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SAN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.9x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.9x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.8x$6.79-44%
Fair6.9x$8.02-34%
Expensive11x$12.46+2.7%
Current11x$12.13—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAN's PE is 11x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

SAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SAN, with profitability improving.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$15.12
Downside-19%$9.77

Calculated from the latest close: $12.13 on Nov 12.

SAN trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

SAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.73Q1 2024: $0.76Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.86Q1 2025: $0.90Q2 2025: $0.92Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.14Q3 2026: $1.16
Q4 2023: $0.73Q1 2024: $0.76Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.86Q1 2025: $0.90Q2 2025: $0.92Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.14Q3 2026: $1.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.16+27%
Q2 2026$1.14+24%
Q1 2026$1.12+24%
Q4 2025$0.96+12%
Q3 2025$0.91+11%
Q2 2025$0.92+15%
Q1 2025$0.90+18%
Q4 2024$0.86+18%

SAN has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over SAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $16BQ1 2024: $37.5BQ2 2024: $17.2BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $35.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $13.4BQ4 2025: $16.6BQ1 2026: $33BQ2 2026: $37.2BQ3 2026: $36.4B
Q4 2023: $16BQ1 2024: $37.5BQ2 2024: $17.2BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $35.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $13.4BQ4 2025: $16.6BQ1 2026: $33BQ2 2026: $37.2BQ3 2026: $36.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$36.4B+170%
Q2 2026$37.2B+134%
Q1 2026$33B-6%
Q4 2025$16.6B-5.3%
Q3 2025$13.4B-19%
Q2 2025$15.9B-7.5%
Q1 2025$35.1B-6.4%
Q4 2024$17.6B+9.8%

SAN's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $36.4B last quarter, up 170% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

SAN has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 186% versus its history, compared with JPM at down 229%.

SAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: −$55BQ2 2024: −$17.1BQ3 2024: $12.9BQ4 2024: $23BQ1 2025: −$22.3BQ2 2025: $21.6BQ3 2025: −$11.1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: −$21.9BQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: −$55BQ2 2024: −$17.1BQ3 2024: $12.9BQ4 2024: $23BQ1 2025: −$22.3BQ2 2025: $21.6BQ3 2025: −$11.1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: −$21.9BQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$21.9B+$416.6M
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025-$11.1B-186%
Q2 2025$21.6B+$38.8B
Q1 2025-$22.3B+$32.7B
Q4 2024$23B+370%
Q3 2024$12.9B+101%
Q2 2024-$17.1B-1043%

SAN's free cash flow was −$11.3B over the past year, against −$3.6B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SAN.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over SAN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17.3BQ1 2024: 16.8BQ2 2024: 16BQ3 2024: 16.3BQ4 2024: 16.3BQ1 2025: 16.2BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15.9BQ4 2025: 15.7BQ1 2026: 15.2BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 16.9B
Q4 2023: 17.3BQ1 2024: 16.8BQ2 2024: 16BQ3 2024: 16.3BQ4 2024: 16.3BQ1 2025: 16.2BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15.9BQ4 2025: 15.7BQ1 2026: 15.2BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 16.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+15%+2.2B shares
1 year+6.2%+990M shares
3 years+6.1%+977M shares
5 years-9.7%-1.8B shares
Available history-6.8%-1.2B shares

SAN has 16.9B diluted shares, up 6.2% from a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over SAN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SAN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 11.9xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 14.6xQ1 2026: 13.8xQ2 2026: 14.8xQ3 2026: 15.4x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 11.9xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 14.6xQ1 2026: 13.8xQ2 2026: 14.8xQ3 2026: 15.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202615.4xHigh
Q2 202614.8xHigh
Q1 202613.8xHigh
Q4 202514.6xHigh
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 202411.9xHigh

SAN's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SAN.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

SAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic14.4Oversold

SAN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SAN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSANSector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %816318 pts above

SAN has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over SAN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.85.3% below
20 week MA$13.712% below
50 week MA$12.74.5% below
100 week MA$10.318% above
200 week MA$7.2567% above

SAN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 67% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over SAN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.96$3.19-19%
2021$3.19$3.26+2.2%
2022$3.26$2.94-9.8%
2023$2.94$4.14+41%
2024$4.14$4.49+8.5%
2025$4.49$11.8+163%
2026 YTD$11.8$12.1+2.7%

SAN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 2.7% so far in 2026.

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