JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RF

Regions Financial Corporation

58
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

RF has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

RF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

RF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RF.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over RF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$20.63-28%
Forward10x$28.51—
Fair11x$27.95-2%
Current11x$28.51—
Expensive13x$33.96+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RF's PE is in its fair range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

RF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect RF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$35.28
Downside-13%$24.76

Calculated from the latest close: $28.51 on Nov 12.

RF trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

RF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $1.86Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.79Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $2.14Q3 2025: $2.26Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $2.46Q3 2026: $2.56Forward: $2.80
Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $1.86Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.79Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $2.14Q3 2025: $2.26Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $2.46Q3 2026: $2.56Forward: $2.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.80+9.2%
Q3 2026$2.56+13%
Q2 2026$2.46+15%
Q1 2026$2.41+16%
Q4 2025$2.30+19%
Q3 2025$2.26+26%
Q2 2025$2.14+20%
Q1 2025$2.07+11%
Q4 2024$1.93-8.5%

RF earned $2.56 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+3%
Q2 2026$1.9B+0.1%
Q1 2026$1.9B+5%
Q4 2025$1.9B+5.8%
Q3 2025$1.9B+7%
Q2 2025$1.9B+10%
Q1 2025$1.8B+2.1%
Q4 2024$1.8B+0.2%

RF's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

RF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $855MQ1 2024: $396MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: −$220MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $573MQ3 2025: $861MQ4 2025: −$319MQ1 2026: $867MQ2 2026: $369MQ3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: $855MQ1 2024: $396MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: −$220MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $573MQ3 2025: $861MQ4 2025: −$319MQ1 2026: $867MQ2 2026: $369MQ3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15M-102%
Q2 2026$369M-36%
Q1 2026$867M-19%
Q4 2025-$319M-$99M
Q3 2025$861M-32%
Q2 2025$573M+256%
Q1 2025$1.1B+169%
Q4 2024-$220M-126%

RF has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

RF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 923MQ2 2024: 918MQ3 2024: 918MQ4 2024: 918MQ1 2025: 910MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 894MQ4 2025: 896MQ1 2026: 868MQ2 2026: 857MQ3 2026: 856M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 923MQ2 2024: 918MQ3 2024: 918MQ4 2024: 918MQ1 2025: 910MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 894MQ4 2025: 896MQ1 2026: 868MQ2 2026: 857MQ3 2026: 856M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-4.3%-38M shares
3 years-8.9%-84M shares
5 years-11%-106M shares
Available history-14%-143M shares

RF has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over RF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RF Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

RF's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RF.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

RF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic38.2Neutral

RF's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRFSector medianRelative
PE11x13x14% below
PE %54639 pts below

RF has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over RF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.92.3% above
20 week MA$29.63.5% below
50 week MA$28.50% below
100 week MA$26.19.2% above
200 week MA$23.024% above

RF's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 24% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over RF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.2$16.0-7.1%
2021$16.0$21.5+35%
2022$21.5$21.2-1.4%
2023$21.2$19.4-8.7%
2024$19.4$23.7+22%
2025$23.7$27.8+17%
2026 YTD$27.8$28.5+2.6%

RF has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 2.6% so far in 2026.

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