JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDDT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 18% for JPM versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has stronger trend alignment. JPM is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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