JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PRAA

PRA Group, Inc.

63
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation93/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

PRAA has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

PRAA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

PRAA's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PRAA.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

PRAA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE61x121x182x243x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE61x121x182x243x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.9x$11.88—
Forward6.5x$11.88—
Cheap9.6x$39.16+230%
Fair11x$47.03+296%
Expensive20x$83.73+605%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRAA has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over PRAA on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

PRAA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect PRAA's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PRAA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PRAA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$16.28
Downside-29%$8.42

Calculated from the latest close: $11.88 on Nov 12.

PRAA trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over PRAA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRAA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.13Q1 2024: $-0.54Q2 2024: $0.10Q3 2024: $1.10Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $2.33Q3 2025: $-8.79Q4 2025: $-7.79Q1 2026: $-7.15Q2 2026: $-6.72Q3 2026: $4.10Forward: $1.82
Q4 2023: $-2.13Q1 2024: $-0.54Q2 2024: $0.10Q3 2024: $1.10Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $2.33Q3 2025: $-8.79Q4 2025: $-7.79Q1 2026: $-7.15Q2 2026: $-6.72Q3 2026: $4.10Forward: $1.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.82-55%
Q3 2026$4.10+$12.89
Q2 2026-$6.72-388%
Q1 2026-$7.15-499%
Q4 2025-$7.79-535%
Q3 2025-$8.79-899%
Q2 2025$2.33+2230%
Q1 2025$1.79+$2.33
Q4 2024$1.79+$3.92

PRAA has returned to profit: it earned $4.10 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PRAA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $256MQ2 2024: $284MQ3 2024: $281MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $288MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $372MQ3 2026: $286M
Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $256MQ2 2024: $284MQ3 2024: $281MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $288MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $372MQ3 2026: $286M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$286.3M-8%
Q2 2026$372.2M+29%
Q1 2026$314.5M+17%
Q4 2025$333.4M+14%
Q3 2025$311.1M+11%
Q2 2025$287.7M+1.2%
Q1 2025$269.6M+5.5%
Q4 2024$293.2M+32%

PRAA has the edge over JPM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

PRAA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$36MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: −$53MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$23M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$36MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: −$53MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$22.7M-$11.3M
Q2 2026-$38.7M-$24.5M
Q1 2026$23.5M+$77M
Q4 2025-$11.3M-127%
Q3 2025-$11.3M+$24.7M
Q2 2025-$14.2M+$16.6M
Q1 2025-$53.5M+$20M
Q4 2024$41.8M+107%

PRAA has the edge over JPM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over PRAA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PRAA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-282K shares
1 year-2.7%-1.1M shares
3 years-3.1%-1.2M shares
5 years-17%-7.6M shares
Available history-17%-7.6M shares

PRAA has 38M diluted shares, down 2.7% from a year ago, with $30M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

PRAA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2023-0.8xNet Cash

PRAA has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PRAA.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

PRAA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic21.1Neutral

PRAA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PRAA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPRAASector medianRelative
PE2.9x13x78% below
PE %06363 pts below

PRAA has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over PRAA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PRAA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.833% below
20 week MA$18.536% below
50 week MA$17.432% below
100 week MA$17.432% below
200 week MA$21.043% below

PRAA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 43% below its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over PRAA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PRAA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.5$38.8+6.2%
2021$38.8$48.5+25%
2022$48.5$33.4-31%
2023$33.4$26.2-22%
2024$26.2$20.5-22%
2025$20.5$17.6-14%
2026 YTD$17.6$11.9-33%

PRAA has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 33% so far in 2026.

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