JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PNC

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

63
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

PNC has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

PNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

PNC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PNC.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over PNC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$169-27%
Forward11x$231—
Fair12x$233+1%
Current12x$231—
Expensive15x$273+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PNC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

PNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

PNC has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails PNC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$289.16
Downside-10%$207.62

Calculated from the latest close: $231.03 on Nov 12.

PNC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

PNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $11.91Q2 2024: $11.94Q3 2024: $11.83Q4 2024: $13.74Q1 2025: $14.15Q2 2025: $14.61Q3 2025: $15.47Q4 2025: $16.59Q1 2026: $17.21Q2 2026: $18.17Q3 2026: $18.79Forward: $20.90
Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $11.91Q2 2024: $11.94Q3 2024: $11.83Q4 2024: $13.74Q1 2025: $14.15Q2 2025: $14.61Q3 2025: $15.47Q4 2025: $16.59Q1 2026: $17.21Q2 2026: $18.17Q3 2026: $18.79Forward: $20.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.90+11%
Q3 2026$18.79+21%
Q2 2026$18.17+24%
Q1 2026$17.21+22%
Q4 2025$16.59+21%
Q3 2025$15.47+31%
Q2 2025$14.61+22%
Q1 2025$14.15+19%
Q4 2024$13.74+7.4%

PNC has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $5.1BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $5.9BQ4 2025: $6.1BQ1 2026: $6.2BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $6.6B
Q4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $5.1BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $5.9BQ4 2025: $6.1BQ1 2026: $6.2BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $6.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.6B+11%
Q2 2026$6.9B+21%
Q1 2026$6.2B+13%
Q4 2025$6.1B+9.1%
Q3 2025$5.9B+8.9%
Q2 2025$5.7B+4.6%
Q1 2025$5.5B+6%
Q4 2024$5.6B+3.8%

PNC has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

PNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: −$509MQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $757MQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: −$509MQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $757MQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B+15%
Q2 2026$2.1B+45%
Q1 2026$1.9B+$2.4B
Q4 2025$757M-58%
Q3 2025$2.7B-19%
Q2 2025$1.5B+43%
Q1 2025-$509M-129%
Q4 2024$1.8B-63%

PNC has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over PNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 401MQ1 2024: 400MQ2 2024: 400MQ3 2024: 400MQ4 2024: 400MQ1 2025: 398MQ2 2025: 397MQ3 2025: 396MQ4 2025: 396MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 401M
Q4 2023: 401MQ1 2024: 400MQ2 2024: 400MQ3 2024: 400MQ4 2024: 400MQ1 2025: 398MQ2 2025: 397MQ3 2025: 396MQ4 2025: 396MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 401M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2M shares
1 year+1.3%+5M shares
3 years+0.2%+1M shares
5 years-5.9%-25M shares
Available history-10%-47M shares

PNC has 401M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago, despite $2.4B in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over PNC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PNC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 9.0xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 6.6xQ2 2026: 8.2xQ3 2026: 7.3x
Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 9.0xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 6.6xQ2 2026: 8.2xQ3 2026: 7.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.3xHigh
Q2 20268.2xHigh
Q1 20266.6xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q3 20256.7xHigh
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.0xHealthy

PNC's net debt is about 7.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PNC.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

PNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic38.8Neutral

PNC's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPNCSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.5% below
PE %486315 pts below

PNC has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

PNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$224.03.1% above
20 week MA$238.33% below
50 week MA$226.61.9% above
100 week MA$206.212% above
200 week MA$178.130% above

PNC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 30% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

PNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$160.8$146.2-9.1%
2021$146.2$197.9+35%
2022$197.9$155.0-22%
2023$155.0$154.9-0.1%
2024$154.9$193.3+25%
2025$193.3$213.9+11%
2026 YTD$213.9$231.0+8%

PNC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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