JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over OZK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

OZK

Bank OZK

49
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

OZK offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

OZK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

OZK's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OZK.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

OZK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$44.10-13%
Current8.3x$50.45—
Fair8.4x$50.57+0.2%
Forward8.4x$50.45—
Expensive11x$67.55+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OZK has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over OZK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

OZK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect OZK's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OZK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OZK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$60.35
Downside-18%$41.44

Calculated from the latest close: $50.45 on Nov 12.

OZK trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over OZK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OZK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $5.71Q4 2023: $5.87Q1 2024: $5.97Q2 2024: $6.02Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.14Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.16Q3 2025: $6.20Q4 2025: $6.17Q1 2026: $6.14Q2 2026: $6.05Forward: $6.01
Q3 2023: $5.71Q4 2023: $5.87Q1 2024: $5.97Q2 2024: $6.02Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.14Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.16Q3 2025: $6.20Q4 2025: $6.17Q1 2026: $6.14Q2 2026: $6.05Forward: $6.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.01-0.7%
Q2 2026$6.05-1.8%
Q1 2026$6.14+0.7%
Q4 2025$6.17+0.5%
Q3 2025$6.20+2%
Q2 2025$6.16+2.3%
Q1 2025$6.10+2.2%
Q4 2024$6.14+4.6%
Q3 2024$6.08+6.5%

OZK earned $6.05 per share over the past year, down 1.8% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over OZK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OZK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $591MQ4 2023: $650MQ1 2024: $666MQ2 2024: $697MQ3 2024: $716MQ4 2024: $696MQ1 2025: $670MQ2 2025: $700MQ3 2025: $731MQ4 2025: $705MQ1 2026: $662MQ2 2026: $673M
Q3 2023: $591MQ4 2023: $650MQ1 2024: $666MQ2 2024: $697MQ3 2024: $716MQ4 2024: $696MQ1 2025: $670MQ2 2025: $700MQ3 2025: $731MQ4 2025: $705MQ1 2026: $662MQ2 2026: $673M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$672.9M-3.8%
Q1 2026$661.5M-1.3%
Q4 2025$704.6M+1.3%
Q3 2025$731.1M+2.2%
Q2 2025$699.6M+0.4%
Q1 2025$670.5M+0.6%
Q4 2024$695.6M+7%
Q3 2024$715.7M+21%

OZK's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $673M last quarter, down 3.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

OZK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $267MQ4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $135MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $242MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $186MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $189M
Q3 2023: $267MQ4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $135MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $242MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $186MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $189M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$189M+48%
Q1 2026$212.1M-12%
Q4 2025$175.3M+45%
Q3 2025$186M-28%
Q2 2025$128.1M-5.4%
Q1 2025$242.3M+8%
Q4 2024$121M-35%
Q3 2024$258M-3.3%

OZK has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

OZK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 114MQ4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 114MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 114MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 112MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 110M
Q3 2023: 114MQ4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 114MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 114MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 112MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 110M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-1.2M shares
1 year-3.6%-4.1M shares
3 years-4%-4.6M shares
5 years-16%-20.6M shares
Available history-15%-19.3M shares

OZK has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

OZK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.0xQ4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: 0.0xQ4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.1xNet Cash

OZK has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

OZK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic75.3Neutral

OZK's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OZK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOZKSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %496314 pts below

OZK has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

OZK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.34.4% above
20 week MA$49.51.8% above
50 week MA$48.54% above
100 week MA$47.85.6% above
200 week MA$44.912% above

OZK has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

OZK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.8$31.1+1%
2021$31.1$45.4+46%
2022$45.4$40.3-11%
2023$40.3$49.8+24%
2024$49.8$44.6-11%
2025$44.6$47.2+5.8%
2026 YTD$47.2$50.5+7%

OZK has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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