JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over OTF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
OTF
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
OTF offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
OTF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
OTF's profitability is currently stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OTF.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
OTF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7x | $5.86 | -38% |
| Forward | 7.2x | $9.46 | — |
| Fair | 8.9x | $7.48 | -21% |
| Current | 11x | $9.46 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $9.77 | +3.3% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OTF has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
OTF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OTF, but weaker profitability.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over OTF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OTF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.32 | +57% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.84 | -51% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.86 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.96 | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.76 | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.73 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.41 | -20% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.52 | -16% |
OTF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.84 over the past year, against $1.80 in late 2023.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
OTF Quarterly Revenue
OTF and JPM do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
OTF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $181.6M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | -$316.7M | +$93.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$197.3M | -136% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -846% |
| Q3 2025 | $158.7M | +$312.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$410.2M | -$387.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $542.2M | +586% |
| Q4 2024 | $161.7M | -36% |
OTF's free cash flow was −$1.5B over the past year, against $452M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OTF.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over OTF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
OTF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -4.7M shares |
| 1 year | -2.3% | -10.5M shares |
| 3 years | +122% | +251M shares |
OTF has 456M diluted shares, down 2.3% from a year ago, with $225M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $55.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $50.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $64.6M |
OTF spent $225M buying back its own shares over the past year.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
OTF Net Leverage
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
OTF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.0 | Neutral |
OTF's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
OTF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | OTF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 13% below |
| PE % | 75 | 12 | 63 pts above |
OTF has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has stronger trend alignment. JPM is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus OTF above 0 of 3.
OTF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.50 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.3 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.4 | 17% below |
OTF is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 50-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over OTF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
OTF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $16.0 | $14.1 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.1 | $9.46 | -33% |
OTF has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 33% so far in 2026.