JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

OSG

Octave Specialty Group, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OSG yet.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

OSG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

OSG's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OSG.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343โ€”
Forward14x$343โ€”
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

OSG PE Valuation

OSG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

OSG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect OSG to return to profit, with revenue growing.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare JPM and OSG's risk to reward.

OSG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $5.09 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare JPM and OSG's risk to reward.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over OSG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OSG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.61Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-11.62Q1 2025: $-13.27Q2 2025: $-14.79Q3 2025: $-16.51Q4 2025: $-5.93Q1 2026: $-4.84Q2 2026: $-3.63Q3 2026: $-1.59Forward: $0.48
Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.61Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-11.62Q1 2025: $-13.27Q2 2025: $-14.79Q3 2025: $-16.51Q4 2025: $-5.93Q1 2026: $-4.84Q2 2026: $-3.63Q3 2026: $-1.59Forward: $0.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.48โ€”
Q3 2026-$1.59+$14.92
Q2 2026-$3.63+$11.16
Q1 2026-$4.84+$8.43
Q4 2025-$5.93+$5.69
Q3 2025-$16.51-$16.08
Q2 2025-$14.79-1019%
Q1 2025-$13.27-1090%
Q4 2024-$11.62-6556%

OSG is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.59 per share over the past year, against $16.51 at its worst in late 2025.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over OSG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: โˆ’$85MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $55MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: โˆ’$85MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $55MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$85.3M+28%
Q2 2026$83M+51%
Q1 2026$104.2M+66%
Q3 2025$66.6M-42%
Q2 2025$55M-48%
Q1 2025$62.8M-39%
Q3 2024$114M+54%
Q2 2024$105M+69%

OSG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $85M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: โˆ’$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: โˆ’$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: โˆ’$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: โˆ’$212BQ2 2026: โˆ’$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: โˆ’$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: โˆ’$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: โˆ’$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: โˆ’$212BQ2 2026: โˆ’$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

OSG has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 101% versus its history, compared with JPM at down 229%.

OSG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $88MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: โˆ’$27MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$666,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$10MQ2 2026: โˆ’$10MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $88MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: โˆ’$27MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$666,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$10MQ2 2026: โˆ’$10MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$10.2M-576%
Q1 2026-$10.1M+$2.5M
Q4 2025-$666K+$26.6M
Q1 2025-$12.6M-170%
Q4 2024-$27.2M-131%
Q1 2024$18M-77%
Q4 2023$88M-93%
Q3 2023$11M-77%

OSG's free cash flow was โˆ’$2M over the past year, against โˆ’$20M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OSG.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

OSG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+28.8K shares
1 year-5.6%-2.7M shares
3 years-3%-1.4M shares
5 years-3.5%-1.6M shares
Available history-0.3%-158K shares

OSG has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

OSG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 11.7xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 20.4x
Q4 2023: 11.7xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 20.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202420.4xHigh
Q2 20244.2xHigh
Q1 20244.7xHigh
Q4 202311.7xHigh
Q3 20232.0xModerate
Q2 20230.9xVery low
Q1 20230.9xVery low
Q4 20221.1xHealthy

OSG's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OSG.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

OSG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic59.9Neutral

OSG's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OSG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOSGSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

OSG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over OSG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OSG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.747.4% above
20 week MA$5.041% above
50 week MA$5.527.8% below
100 week MA$7.2230% below
200 week MA$10.752% below

OSG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 52% below its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over OSG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OSG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.6$16.7-23%
2021$16.7$15.5-7.4%
2022$15.5$16.7+7.6%
2023$16.7$16.5-1%
2024$16.5$12.3-25%
2025$12.3$8.00-35%
2026 YTD$8.00$5.09-36%

OSG has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 36% so far in 2026.

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