JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
OSBC
Old Second Bancorp, Inc.
OSBC has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
OSBC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
OSBC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OSBC.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over OSBC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
OSBC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $15.56 | -38% |
| Fair | 9.8x | $20.78 | -17% |
| Forward | 11x | $25.11 | — |
| Current | 12x | $25.11 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $30.07 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OSBC's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
OSBC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect OSBC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over OSBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OSBC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.32 | +10% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.11 | +40% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.73 | -5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.67 | -8.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.62 | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.51 | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.83 | -3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | -7.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.87 | -7.4% |
OSBC earned $2.11 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over OSBC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OSBC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $97.1M | +1.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $96.6M | +29% |
| Q1 2026 | $93.8M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $95.2M | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $95.9M | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $75.1M | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $73.1M | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $73.2M | +4.6% |
OSBC has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | +26 points |
| Q2 2026 | 39% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +6.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -28 points |
| Q2 2025 | 39% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 36% | -4.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 35% | -1 points |
OSBC's operating margin was 40% last quarter, up 26 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
OSBC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $64.2M | +85% |
| Q2 2026 | $27.9M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.2M | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $43.4M | +98% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.7M | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.5M | +167% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.2M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.8M | -12% |
OSBC has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
OSBC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.9% | -975K shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -2.4M shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +5.7M shares |
| 5 years | +74% | +21.8M shares |
| Available history | +68% | +20.7M shares |
OSBC has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $39.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $15.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $24.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $36,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $5.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $62,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $257,000 |
OSBC spent $80M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM has the edge over OSBC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
OSBC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
OSBC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OSBC.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
OSBC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.5 | Neutral |
OSBC's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
OSBC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | OSBC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 8.6% below |
| PE % | 71 | 63 | 8 pts above |
OSBC has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
OSBC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $24.7 | 1.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $24.8 | 1.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.3 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $19.9 | 26% above |
| 200 week MA | $17.4 | 45% above |
OSBC has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
OSBC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.5 | $9.97 | -26% |
| 2021 | $9.97 | $12.6 | +27% |
| 2022 | $12.6 | $16.6 | +31% |
| 2023 | $16.6 | $15.4 | -7% |
| 2024 | $15.4 | $17.8 | +16% |
| 2025 | $17.8 | $19.9 | +12% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.9 | $25.1 | +26% |
OSBC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.