JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NU

Nu Holdings Ltd.

67
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

NU has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

NU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

NU's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NU.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

NU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE163x325x488x651x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE163x325x488x651x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$11.83—
Current16x$11.83—
Cheap23x$17.04+44%
Fair33x$24.31+106%
Expensive125x$92.38+681%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NU has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

NU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

NU has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails NU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$19.51
Downside-14%$10.21

Calculated from the latest close: $11.83 on Nov 12.

NU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

NU Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.08Q4 2023: $0.21Q1 2024: $0.26Q2 2024: $0.31Q3 2024: $0.36Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.46Q3 2025: $0.51Q4 2025: $0.58Q1 2026: $0.65Q2 2026: $0.74Forward: $1.06
Q3 2023: $0.08Q4 2023: $0.21Q1 2024: $0.26Q2 2024: $0.31Q3 2024: $0.36Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.46Q3 2025: $0.51Q4 2025: $0.58Q1 2026: $0.65Q2 2026: $0.74Forward: $1.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.06+43%
Q2 2026$0.74+61%
Q1 2026$0.65+51%
Q4 2025$0.58+45%
Q3 2025$0.51+42%
Q2 2025$0.46+48%
Q1 2025$0.43+65%
Q4 2024$0.40+90%
Q3 2024$0.36+350%

NU has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NU Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.5B
Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$5.5B+50%
Q1 2026$5B+53%
Q4 2025$4.7B+65%
Q3 2025$4.2B+46%
Q2 2025$3.7B+34%
Q1 2025$3.2B+23%
Q4 2024$2.9B+24%
Q3 2024$2.9B+34%

NU has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM has the edge over NU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NU Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$3.3BQ4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: −$597MQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: −$2.9B
Q3 2023: −$3.3BQ4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: −$597MQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: −$2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$2.9B-218%
Q1 2026-$1.3B-229%
Q4 2025$1.1B-14%
Q3 2025-$1.1B+$8.8M
Q2 2025$2.5B-6.3%
Q1 2025$1B+$1.6B
Q4 2024$1.3B-52%
Q3 2024-$1.1B+$2.2B

NU's free cash flow was −$4.2B over the past year, against $3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NU.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over NU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NU Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.9BQ4 2023: 4.9BQ1 2024: 4.9BQ2 2024: 4.9BQ3 2024: 4.9BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.9BQ2 2025: 4.9BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9B
Q3 2023: 4.9BQ4 2023: 4.9BQ1 2024: 4.9BQ2 2024: 4.9BQ3 2024: 4.9BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.9BQ2 2025: 4.9BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-5.4M shares
1 year+0.1%+5.1M shares
3 years+1.3%+61M shares
5 years+6.4%+296M shares
Available history+6.4%+296M shares

NU has 4.9B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over NU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NU Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -9.6xQ4 2023: -7.6xQ1 2024: -5.9xQ2 2024: -5.2xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -4.4xQ1 2025: -4.3xQ2 2025: -4.6xQ3 2025: -3.9xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: 5.0x
Q3 2023: -9.6xQ4 2023: -7.6xQ1 2024: -5.9xQ2 2024: -5.2xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -4.4xQ1 2025: -4.3xQ2 2025: -4.6xQ3 2025: -3.9xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: 5.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20265.0xHigh
Q1 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.3xNet Cash

NU's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NU.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.1Neutral
Stochastic10.5Oversold

NU's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over NU on valuation relative to its sector.

NU PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNUSector medianRelative
PE16x13x23% above
PE %16362 pts below

NU is trading at 16x earnings, a 23% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over NU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.513% below
20 week MA$14.015% below
50 week MA$14.619% below
100 week MA$13.814% below
200 week MA$11.71.5% above

NU has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 1.5% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over NU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$11.9$9.83-17%
2022$9.83$3.89-60%
2023$3.89$8.33+114%
2024$8.33$10.3+24%
2025$10.3$16.8+62%
2026 YTD$16.8$11.8-29%

NU's yearly returns have swung widely, from +114% in 2023 to −60% in 2022. It's down 29% so far in 2026.

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