JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over NNI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

NNI

Nelnet, Inc.

41
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

NNI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

NNI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NNI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NNI.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over NNI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NNI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$53.77-57%
Fair15x$110-12%
Forward15x$125—
Current16x$125—
Expensive26x$200+60%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NNI's PE is in its fair range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

NNI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect NNI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NNI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NNI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$136.85
Downside-16%$105.18

Calculated from the latest close: $124.83 on Nov 12.

NNI trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

NNI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.45Q1 2024: $3.71Q2 2024: $4.19Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.31Q2 2025: $9.05Q3 2025: $11.92Q4 2025: $11.79Q1 2026: $11.50Q2 2026: $8.38Q3 2026: $7.57Forward: $8.43
Q4 2023: $2.45Q1 2024: $3.71Q2 2024: $4.19Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.31Q2 2025: $9.05Q3 2025: $11.92Q4 2025: $11.79Q1 2026: $11.50Q2 2026: $8.38Q3 2026: $7.57Forward: $8.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.43+11%
Q3 2026$7.57-36%
Q2 2026$8.38-7.4%
Q1 2026$11.50+117%
Q4 2025$11.79+135%
Q3 2025$11.92+291%
Q2 2025$9.05+116%
Q1 2025$5.31+43%
Q4 2024$5.02+105%

NNI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $7.57 over the past year, against $13.43 in late 2022.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NNI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $101M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $101M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$101.4M+19%
Q2 2026$96M+21%
Q1 2026$101.6M+23%
Q4 2025$107.1M+34%
Q3 2025$85.3M+18%
Q2 2025$79.4M+20%
Q1 2025$82.7M+11%
Q4 2024$80.1M+15%

NNI has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

NNI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $123MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $188M
Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $123MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $188M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$187.9M+87%
Q2 2026$71.6M-8.3%
Q1 2026$61.6M-30%
Q4 2025$130.1M-34%
Q3 2025$100.8M-24%
Q2 2025$78.1M-36%
Q1 2025$87.8M-53%
Q4 2024$197.9M+239%

NNI has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over NNI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NNI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-192K shares
1 year-1.3%-471K shares
3 years-4.4%-1.7M shares
5 years-7.1%-2.8M shares
Available history-10%-4.2M shares

NNI has 36M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago, with $110M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over NNI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NNI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 70.4xQ1 2024: 45.6xQ2 2024: 37.2xQ3 2024: 45.8xQ4 2024: 25.5xQ1 2025: 26.4xQ2 2025: 15.7xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 12.1xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 16.6xQ3 2026: 18.1x
Q4 2023: 70.4xQ1 2024: 45.6xQ2 2024: 37.2xQ3 2024: 45.8xQ4 2024: 25.5xQ1 2025: 26.4xQ2 2025: 15.7xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 12.1xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 16.6xQ3 2026: 18.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202618.1xHigh
Q2 202616.6xHigh
Q1 202612.8xHigh
Q4 202512.1xHigh
Q3 202512.2xHigh
Q2 202515.7xHigh
Q1 202526.4xHigh
Q4 202425.5xHigh

NNI's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 12 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NNI.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NNI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.5Neutral
Stochastic32.3Neutral

NNI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over NNI on valuation relative to its sector.

NNI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNNISector medianRelative
PE16x13x27% above
PE %57636 pts below

NNI is trading at 16x earnings, a 27% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over NNI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NNI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.20.3% below
20 week MA$128.42.8% below
50 week MA$130.44.3% below
100 week MA$124.30.5% above
200 week MA$110.713% above

NNI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 13% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over NNI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NNI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.5$68.7+17%
2021$68.7$97.6+42%
2022$97.6$89.6-8.2%
2023$89.6$88.2-1.5%
2024$88.2$106.2+20%
2025$106.2$135.7+28%
2026 YTD$135.7$124.8-8%

NNI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 8% so far in 2026.

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