JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NBBK

NB Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock

60
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

NBBK has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

NBBK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

NBBK's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NBBK.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

NBBK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.1x$21.91—
Cheap13x$22.08+0.8%
Current13x$21.91—
Fair15x$24.73+13%
Expensive17x$28.92+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBBK has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

NBBK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

NBBK has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails NBBK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NBBK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$27.64
Downside-11%$19.41

Calculated from the latest close: $21.91 on Nov 12.

NBBK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

NBBK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $0.35Q4 2024: $1.07Q1 2025: $1.18Q2 2025: $1.33Q3 2025: $1.55Q4 2025: $1.34Q1 2026: $1.37Q2 2026: $1.51Q3 2026: $1.66Forward: $2.41
Q3 2024: $0.35Q4 2024: $1.07Q1 2025: $1.18Q2 2025: $1.33Q3 2025: $1.55Q4 2025: $1.34Q1 2026: $1.37Q2 2026: $1.51Q3 2026: $1.66Forward: $2.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.41+45%
Q3 2026$1.66+7.1%
Q2 2026$1.51+14%
Q1 2026$1.37+16%
Q4 2025$1.34+25%
Q3 2025$1.55+343%

NBBK has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NBBK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $77M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $77M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$76.5M+48%
Q2 2026$74.7M+46%
Q1 2026$69.4M+46%
Q4 2025$63.4M+37%
Q3 2025$51.7M+21%
Q2 2025$51.2M+23%
Q1 2025$47.4M+12%
Q4 2024$46.3M+21%

NBBK has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

NBBK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.2M+181%
Q2 2026$31.3M+20%
Q1 2026$25.3M+157%
Q4 2025-$2.5M-113%
Q3 2025$23.9M+155%
Q2 2025$26.1M+9.4%
Q1 2025$9.8M+$21.7M
Q4 2024$19.9M+52%

NBBK has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over NBBK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NBBK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 40M
Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-166K shares
1 year+12%+4.3M shares

NBBK has 40M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $46M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

NBBK Net Leverage

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NBBK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.2Neutral
Stochastic36.6Neutral

NBBK's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NBBK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNBBKSector medianRelative
PE13x13x1.4% above
PE %143723 pts below

NBBK has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has stronger trend alignment. JPM is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus NBBK above 2 of 4.

NBBK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.31.7% below
20 week MA$22.31.7% below
50 week MA$21.42.6% above
100 week MA$19.711% above

NBBK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 11% above its 100-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

NBBK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$13.5$13.50%
2024$13.5$18.4+36%
2025$18.4$20.6+12%
2026 YTD$20.6$21.9+6.4%

NBBK has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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