JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over MSIF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MSIF
MSC Income Fund, Inc.
MSIF offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
MSIF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MSIF's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MSIF.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
MSIF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7.4x | $12.44 | — |
| Cheap | 7.8x | $13.06 | +5% |
| Fair | 8.9x | $14.90 | +20% |
| Forward | 8.9x | $12.44 | — |
| Expensive | 10x | $16.73 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSIF has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over MSIF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
MSIF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MSIF's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
MSIF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.39 | -17% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.68 | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.63 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.33 | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.59 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.42 | +97% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.05 | +46% |
MSIF has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 8.1% for JPM versus down 43% for MSIF.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MSIF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | $13.1M | -43% |
| Q3 2022 | $17.1M | -6.1% |
| Q2 2022 | $3.7M | -85% |
| Q1 2022 | $17.9M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2021 | $23.1M | +42% |
| Q3 2021 | $18.2M | -55% |
| Q2 2021 | $24.7M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2020 | $16.3M | +230% |
MSIF's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $13M last quarter, down 43% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 92% | -2.3 points |
| Q3 2022 | 94% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2022 | 68% | -29 points |
| Q1 2022 | 93% | +14 points |
| Q4 2021 | 94% | +5.4 points |
| Q3 2021 | 92% | -5.7 points |
| Q2 2021 | 97% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2021 | 80% | N/A |
MSIF's operating margin was 92% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM has the edge over MSIF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSIF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $31.9M | +117% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M | -49% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.4M | +$54.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.5M | -$30.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.9M | +$61.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$72.5M | -$60.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$14.7M | -136% |
MSIF's free cash flow was −$15M over the past year, against −$40M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
MSIF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -7.9K shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -2M shares |
| 3 years | -44% | -35M shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +5.4M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +5.8M shares |
MSIF has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $671,000 |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $16M |
| Q4 2025 | $9M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $146,000 |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $4M |
MSIF spent $26M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
MSIF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2022 | 8,292.9x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 8,673.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 7,131.8x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 6,517.7x | High |
MSIF's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
MSIF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.7 | Neutral |
MSIF's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MSIF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MSIF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.4x | 13x | 43% below |
| PE % | 7 | 24 | 17 pts below |
MSIF has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
MSIF has stronger trend alignment. JPM is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus MSIF above 3 of 3.
MSIF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.0 | 3.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.0 | 3.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $12.4 | 0% above |
MSIF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 0% above its 50-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over MSIF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSIF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $16.3 | $13.6 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.6 | $12.4 | -8.8% |
MSIF has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 8.8% so far in 2026.