JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has a slight edge over MRSH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MRSH

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.

57
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MRSH offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

MRSH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MRSH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MRSH.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

MRSH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$206—
Cheap24x$197-4.3%
Current25x$206—
Fair27x$229+12%
Expensive30x$254+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MRSH has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

MRSH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

MRSH has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MRSH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MRSH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$233.98
Downside-11%$183.07

Calculated from the latest close: $205.69 on Nov 12.

MRSH trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over MRSH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MRSH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.53Q1 2024: $7.88Q2 2024: $8.08Q3 2024: $8.12Q4 2024: $8.18Q1 2025: $8.15Q2 2025: $8.33Q3 2025: $8.33Q4 2025: $8.43Q1 2026: $8.00Q2 2026: $8.18Q3 2026: $8.36Forward: $11.25
Q4 2023: $7.53Q1 2024: $7.88Q2 2024: $8.08Q3 2024: $8.12Q4 2024: $8.18Q1 2025: $8.15Q2 2025: $8.33Q3 2025: $8.33Q4 2025: $8.43Q1 2026: $8.00Q2 2026: $8.18Q3 2026: $8.36Forward: $11.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.25+35%
Q3 2026$8.36+0.4%
Q2 2026$8.18-1.8%
Q1 2026$8.00-1.8%
Q4 2025$8.43+3.1%
Q3 2025$8.33+2.6%
Q2 2025$8.33+3.1%
Q1 2025$8.15+3.4%
Q4 2024$8.18+8.6%

MRSH earned $8.36 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MRSH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $5.7BQ4 2024: $6.1BQ1 2025: $7.1BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $6.6BQ1 2026: $7.6BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $6.9B
Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $5.7BQ4 2024: $6.1BQ1 2025: $7.1BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $6.6BQ1 2026: $7.6BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $6.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.9B+8.1%
Q2 2026$7.4B+6.2%
Q1 2026$7.6B+7.6%
Q4 2025$6.6B+8.7%
Q3 2025$6.4B+11%
Q2 2025$7B+12%
Q1 2025$7.1B+9.1%
Q4 2024$6.1B+9.2%

MRSH has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MRSH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: −$868MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: −$677MQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$750MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: −$868MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: −$677MQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$750MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-30%
Q2 2026$1.5B-10%
Q1 2026-$750M-$73M
Q4 2025$2.1B+9.4%
Q3 2025$2B+9.3%
Q2 2025$1.6B+42%
Q1 2025-$677M+$191M
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

MRSH has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

MRSH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 499MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 496MQ3 2024: 496MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 495MQ2 2025: 495MQ3 2025: 494MQ4 2025: 494MQ1 2026: 486MQ2 2026: 482MQ3 2026: 479M
Q4 2023: 499MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 496MQ3 2024: 496MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 495MQ2 2025: 495MQ3 2025: 494MQ4 2025: 494MQ1 2026: 486MQ2 2026: 482MQ3 2026: 479M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-3M shares
1 year-3%-15M shares
3 years-4%-20M shares
5 years-6.6%-34M shares
Available history-6.3%-32M shares

MRSH has 479M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $3B in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over MRSH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MRSH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

MRSH's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MRSH.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MRSH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.6Neutral
Stochastic85.8Overbought

MRSH's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over MRSH on valuation relative to its sector.

MRSH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMRSHSector medianRelative
PE25x13x89% above
PE %226341 pts below

MRSH is trading at 25x earnings, a 89% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

MRSH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$189.28.7% above
20 week MA$186.310% above
50 week MA$179.615% above
100 week MA$196.44.7% above
200 week MA$197.14.4% above

MRSH has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

MRSH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$112.0$115.1+2.8%
2021$115.1$170.6+48%
2022$170.6$165.6-2.9%
2023$165.6$189.5+14%
2024$189.5$213.5+13%
2025$213.5$187.0-12%
2026 YTD$187.0$205.7+10%

MRSH has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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