JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MKTX

MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

67
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MKTX has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

MKTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MKTX's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MKTX.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

MKTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current20x$165—
Forward20x$165—
Cheap29x$238+44%
Fair40x$328+99%
Expensive66x$535+224%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MKTX has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over MKTX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MKTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MKTX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MKTX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MKTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$207.25
Downside-13%$144.14

Calculated from the latest close: $165.16 on Nov 12.

MKTX trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over MKTX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.85Q1 2024: $6.81Q2 2024: $6.94Q3 2024: $7.38Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $5.76Q2 2025: $5.95Q3 2025: $5.89Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $8.44Q2 2026: $8.46Q3 2026: $8.15Forward: $8.43
Q4 2023: $6.85Q1 2024: $6.81Q2 2024: $6.94Q3 2024: $7.38Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $5.76Q2 2025: $5.95Q3 2025: $5.89Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $8.44Q2 2026: $8.46Q3 2026: $8.15Forward: $8.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.43+3.4%
Q3 2026$8.15+38%
Q2 2026$8.46+42%
Q1 2026$8.44+47%
Q4 2025$6.64-8.8%
Q3 2025$5.89-20%
Q2 2025$5.95-14%
Q1 2025$5.76-15%
Q4 2024$7.28+6.3%

MKTX earned $8.15 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over MKTX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MKTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $202MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $209MQ1 2026: $233MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $210M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $202MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $209MQ1 2026: $233MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $210M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$210.4M+0.8%
Q2 2026$218.4M-0.5%
Q1 2026$233.4M+12%
Q4 2025$209.4M+3.5%
Q3 2025$208.8M+1%
Q2 2025$219.5M+11%
Q3 2022$172.1M+6.2%
Q2 2022$182.2M+3.3%

MKTX's revenue has held roughly level: $210M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MKTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $176MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $247M
Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $176MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $247M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$246.7M+178%
Q2 2026$26.2M-74%
Q1 2026-$75.6M-373%
Q4 2025$155.1M-12%
Q3 2025$88.7M-5.9%
Q2 2025$102.5M-7.8%
Q1 2025$27.7M+$33.8M
Q4 2024$176M+26%

MKTX has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

MKTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+36K shares
1 year-4.9%-1.8M shares
3 years-6.1%-2.3M shares
5 years-7.4%-2.8M shares
Available history-7.1%-2.7M shares

MKTX has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MKTX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

MKTX has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MKTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.8Neutral
Stochastic93.0Overbought

MKTX's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 93 (overbought).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over MKTX on valuation relative to its sector.

MKTX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMKTXSector medianRelative
PE20x13x56% above
PE %76356 pts below

MKTX is trading at 20x earnings, a 56% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over MKTX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MKTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$164.80.2% above
20 week MA$154.17.2% above
50 week MA$158.54.2% above
100 week MA$180.68.5% below
200 week MA$219.825% below

MKTX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 25% below its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over MKTX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MKTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$375.0$573.1+53%
2021$573.1$410.7-28%
2022$410.7$280.9-32%
2023$280.9$292.9+4.3%
2024$292.9$229.0-22%
2025$229.0$182.9-20%
2026 YTD$182.9$165.2-9.7%

MKTX has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 9.7% so far in 2026.

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