JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MGR
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
MGR has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
MGR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MGR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MGR.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
MGR PE Valuation
MGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
MGR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MGR, with profitability improving.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
MGR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28.30 | +68% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.53 | +108% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.38 | +85% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.74 | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.82 | +9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.73 | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.19 | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.13 | -13% |
MGR earned $28.30 per share over the past year, up 68% from the year before.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM has the edge over MGR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MGR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $595.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $640.7M | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $544.9M | +9.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $556.6M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $528M | +2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $493.2M | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $496.6M | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $524.3M | +4.3% |
MGR's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $595M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 54% | -14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +13 points |
| Q1 2026 | 35% | +9.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 94% | +42 points |
| Q3 2025 | 69% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | -25 points |
| Q4 2024 | 52% | -2.3 points |
MGR has the edge over JPM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
MGR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $360.1M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $239M | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $295.5M | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $254.5M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $275.9M | +4.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $229.4M | -6.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $207.3M | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $211.4M | -15% |
MGR has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
MGR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3% | -800K shares |
| 1 year | -21% | -6.8M shares |
| 3 years | -38% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -43% | -19.3M shares |
| Available history | -48% | -24.5M shares |
MGR has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $402.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $179.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $185.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $353.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $75.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $101.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $176.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $120.3M |
MGR spent $1.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 137% from the year before.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
MGR Net Leverage
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
MGR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 25.3 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 10.8 | Oversold |
MGR's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MGR PE vs Financial Services Sector
MGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over MGR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MGR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $18.8 | 4.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $19.5 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $20.2 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.9 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.9 | 18% below |
MGR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% below its 200-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over MGR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MGR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.3 | $28.0 | +2.7% |
| 2021 | $28.0 | $27.2 | -2.9% |
| 2022 | $27.2 | $22.6 | -17% |
| 2023 | $22.6 | $22.5 | -0.2% |
| 2024 | $22.5 | $21.8 | -3.4% |
| 2025 | $21.8 | $21.5 | -1.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.5 | $17.9 | -16% |
MGR has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 16% so far in 2026.