JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MCB

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp.

67
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MCB has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

MCB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MCB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MCB.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over MCB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MCB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$72.70-25%
Forward9x$97.11—
Current9.9x$97.11—
Fair11x$105+8.4%
Expensive13x$132+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCB's PE is in its fair range at 9.9x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

MCB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

MCB has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails MCB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MCB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$134.65
Downside-18%$79.40

Calculated from the latest close: $97.11 on Nov 12.

MCB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over MCB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.91Q1 2024: $6.12Q2 2024: $6.25Q3 2024: $5.36Q4 2024: $5.93Q1 2025: $5.92Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $5.77Q4 2025: $6.62Q1 2026: $8.09Q2 2026: $7.87Q3 2026: $9.78Forward: $10.76
Q4 2023: $6.91Q1 2024: $6.12Q2 2024: $6.25Q3 2024: $5.36Q4 2024: $5.93Q1 2025: $5.92Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $5.77Q4 2025: $6.62Q1 2026: $8.09Q2 2026: $7.87Q3 2026: $9.78Forward: $10.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.76+10%
Q3 2026$9.78+69%
Q2 2026$7.87+27%
Q1 2026$8.09+37%
Q4 2025$6.62+12%
Q3 2025$5.77+7.6%
Q2 2025$6.18-1.1%
Q1 2025$5.92-3.3%
Q4 2024$5.93-14%

MCB earned $9.78 per share over the past year, up 69% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MCB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $68MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $101M
Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $68MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $101M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$100.6M+26%
Q2 2026$93M+22%
Q1 2026$88.5M+25%
Q4 2025$88.4M+25%
Q3 2025$79.8M+12%
Q2 2025$76.3M+13%
Q1 2025$70.6M+5.8%
Q4 2024$71M+12%

MCB has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MCB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$61.5M+93%
Q2 2026-$10.8M-159%
Q1 2026$55M+609%
Q4 2025$30.7M-63%
Q3 2025$31.8M+562%
Q2 2025$18.4M-48%
Q1 2025$7.8M-69%
Q4 2024$83.4M+$114.2M

MCB has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over MCB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MCB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+55K shares
1 year+19%+2M shares
3 years+13%+1.4M shares
5 years+41%+3.7M shares
Available history+51%+4.2M shares

MCB has 13M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago, despite $40M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MCB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -4.9xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -4.9xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20240.4xVery low

MCB has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MCB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic78.7Neutral

MCB's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MCB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMCBSector medianRelative
PE9.9x13x24% below
PE %446319 pts below

MCB has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

MCB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.25.3% above
20 week MA$93.04.5% above
50 week MA$89.28.9% above
100 week MA$77.825% above
200 week MA$60.960% above

MCB has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

MCB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.9$35.8-25%
2021$35.8$100.4+180%
2022$100.4$57.9-42%
2023$57.9$55.4-4.3%
2024$55.4$58.2+5%
2025$58.2$78.3+35%
2026 YTD$78.3$97.1+24%

MCB has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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