JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MBI

MBIA Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MBI yet.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

MBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

MBI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MBI.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343โ€”
Forward14x$343โ€”
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

MBI PE Valuation

MBI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

MBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MBI's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare JPM and MBI's risk to reward.

MBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $4.68 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare JPM and MBI's risk to reward.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over MBI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-9.97Q1 2024: $-9.95Q2 2024: $-13.84Q3 2024: $-11.08Q4 2024: $-9.44Q1 2025: $-8.88Q2 2025: $-4.65Q3 2025: $-3.64Q4 2025: $-3.58Q1 2026: $-3.10Q2 2026: $-2.89Q3 2026: $-3.21
Q4 2023: $-9.97Q1 2024: $-9.95Q2 2024: $-13.84Q3 2024: $-11.08Q4 2024: $-9.44Q1 2025: $-8.88Q2 2025: $-4.65Q3 2025: $-3.64Q4 2025: $-3.58Q1 2026: $-3.10Q2 2026: $-2.89Q3 2026: $-3.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.21+$0.43
Q2 2026-$2.89+$1.76
Q1 2026-$3.10+$5.78
Q4 2025-$3.58+$5.86
Q3 2025-$3.64+$7.44
Q2 2025-$4.65+$9.19
Q1 2025-$8.88+$1.07
Q4 2024-$9.44+$0.53

MBI is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.21 per share over the past year, against $13.84 at its worst in mid-2024.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over MBI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: โˆ’$31MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: โˆ’$37MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$31MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: โˆ’$37MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26M+73%
Q2 2026$27M+17%
Q1 2026$24M+71%
Q4 2025$28M-24%
Q3 2025$15M-48%
Q1 2025$14M+7.7%
Q3 2024$29M+263%
Q1 2024$13M+550%

MBI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $26M last quarter, up 73% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: โˆ’$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: โˆ’$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: โˆ’$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: โˆ’$212BQ2 2026: โˆ’$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: โˆ’$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: โˆ’$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: โˆ’$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: โˆ’$212BQ2 2026: โˆ’$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was โˆ’$84.2B over the past year, against โˆ’$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$30MQ2 2024: โˆ’$10MQ3 2024: โˆ’$139MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: โˆ’$43MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: โˆ’$10MQ1 2026: โˆ’$33MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4MQ3 2026: โˆ’$73M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$30MQ2 2024: โˆ’$10MQ3 2024: โˆ’$139MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: โˆ’$43MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: โˆ’$10MQ1 2026: โˆ’$33MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4MQ3 2026: โˆ’$73M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$73M-181%
Q2 2026-$4M-500%
Q1 2026-$33M+$10M
Q4 2025-$10M-433%
Q3 2025$90M+$229M
Q2 2025$1M+$11M
Q1 2025-$43M-$13M
Q4 2024$3M+$5M

MBI's free cash flow was โˆ’$120M over the past year, against $51M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MBI.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over MBI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+64.9K shares
1 year+1.3%+665K shares
3 years+6.9%+3.3M shares
5 years+1.4%+710K shares
Available history-38%-30.8M shares

MBI has 50M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MBI Net Leverage

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.6Neutral
Stochastic33.3Neutral

MBI's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MBI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MBI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over MBI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.494.2% above
20 week MA$5.016.6% below
50 week MA$5.8220% below
100 week MA$5.8820% below
200 week MA$6.6029% below

MBI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 29% below its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over MBI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.26$6.95-25%
2021$6.95$12.4+79%
2022$12.4$12.9+3.7%
2023$12.9$6.12-53%
2024$6.12$6.10-0.3%
2025$6.10$7.12+17%
2026 YTD$7.12$4.68-34%

MBI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 34% so far in 2026.

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