JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over JRVR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
JRVR
James River Group Holdings, Ltd.
JRVR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
JRVR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JRVR's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JRVR.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
JRVR PE Valuation
JRVR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over JRVR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
JRVR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Decline | |
| Decline | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect JRVR's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over JRVR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
JRVR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.91 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$3.62 | -$1.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.44 | +$3.76 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.40 | +$3.65 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.79 | +$3.85 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.24 | +$1.81 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.32 | -$0.82 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.25 | -$0.97 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.06 | -$0.61 |
JRVR is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.62 per share over the past year, against $4.94 at its worst in late 2021.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM has the edge over JRVR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over JRVR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
JRVR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $147.7M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $161.3M | -7.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.4M | -12% |
| Q4 2025 | $167.7M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $172.7M | -9.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $174.8M | -7.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $172.3M | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $126.7M | -42% |
JRVR's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $148M last quarter, down 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -128% | -129 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.2% | +1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -7% | -16 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | +72 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5% | +29 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.2% | -6.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.3% | -7.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -57% | -70 points |
JRVR's operating margin was −128% last quarter, down 129 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
JRVR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$39.8M | -218% |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.9M | -124% |
| Q1 2026 | -$766K | +$51.9M |
| Q4 2025 | -$29.3M | -718% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.7M | +$304.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $24.7M | +$34M |
| Q1 2025 | -$52.7M | -326% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | +$17.7M |
JRVR's free cash flow was −$76M over the past year, against $10M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JRVR.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over JRVR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
JRVR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -623K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -387K shares |
| 3 years | +22% | +8.5M shares |
| 5 years | +34% | +11.8M shares |
| Available history | +51% | +15.7M shares |
JRVR has 46M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | $1.5M |
| Q4 2022 | $363,000 |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $19,000 |
| Q1 2022 | $922,000 |
| Q4 2021 | $315,000 |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $209,000 |
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
JRVR Net Leverage
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
JRVR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.1 | Neutral |
JRVR's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
JRVR PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JRVR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.8x | 13x | 32% below |
| PE % | 22 | 63 | 41 pts below |
JRVR has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over JRVR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JRVR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.67 | 14% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.05 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.12 | 39% below |
| 100 week MA | $5.13 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.78 | 64% below |
JRVR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 64% below its 200-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over JRVR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
JRVR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $41.5 | $48.9 | +18% |
| 2021 | $48.9 | $27.1 | -44% |
| 2022 | $27.1 | $22.1 | -19% |
| 2023 | $22.1 | $9.24 | -58% |
| 2024 | $9.24 | $4.84 | -48% |
| 2025 | $4.84 | $6.39 | +32% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.39 | $3.14 | -51% |
JRVR has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 51% so far in 2026.