JOUT

Johnson Outdoors Inc.

66
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

JOUT has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

JOUT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

JOUT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

JOUT PE Valuation

JOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

JOUT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

JOUT has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JOUT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$59.94
Downside-20%$37.90

Calculated from the latest close: $47.57 on Nov 12.

JOUT trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JOUT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JOUT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.90Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-2.60Q4 2024: $-4.47Q1 2025: $-4.46Q2 2025: $-3.87Q4 2025: $-3.35Q1 2026: $-2.19Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-0.85Forward: $1.37
Q3 2023: $1.90Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-2.60Q4 2024: $-4.47Q1 2025: $-4.46Q2 2025: $-3.87Q4 2025: $-3.35Q1 2026: $-2.19Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-0.85Forward: $1.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.37—
Q2 2026-$0.85+$3.02
Q1 2026-$1.52+$2.94
Q4 2025-$2.19+$2.28
Q3 2025-$3.35-$0.75
Q2 2025-$3.87-$3.06
Q1 2025-$4.46-1049%
Q4 2024-$4.47-361%
Q3 2024-$2.60-237%

JOUT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.85 per share over the past year, against $4.47 at its worst in late 2024.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over JOUT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

JOUT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $96MQ4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $176MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $190M
Q3 2023: $96MQ4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $176MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $190M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$189.7M+5%
Q1 2026$194.5M+16%
Q4 2025$140.9M+31%
Q3 2025$135.8M+28%
Q2 2025$180.7M+4.7%
Q1 2025$168.3M-4.3%
Q4 2024$107.6M-22%
Q3 2024$105.9M+9.9%

JOUT has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

JOUT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$7MQ4 2023: −$39MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$41MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: $72M
Q3 2023: −$7MQ4 2023: −$39MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$41MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$71.8M+7.3%
Q1 2026-$18.5M-$13.5M
Q4 2025-$42.7M-$1.7M
Q3 2025$19.2M+42%
Q2 2025$66.9M-0.7%
Q1 2025-$5M+$18.3M
Q4 2024-$41M-$2.3M
Q3 2024$13.5M+$20.3M

JOUT has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

JOUT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 10MQ4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 10MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 10MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 10M
Q3 2023: 10MQ4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 10MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 10MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 10M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5K shares
1 year+0.9%+95K shares
3 years+1.7%+178K shares
5 years+2.5%+252K shares
Available history+3.7%+367K shares

JOUT has 10M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over JOUT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JOUT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -4.0xQ4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -4.6xQ4 2025: -39.8xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -4.6x
Q3 2023: -4.0xQ4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -4.6xQ4 2025: -39.8xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-39.8xNet Cash
Q1 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2023-4.0xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.9xNet Cash

JOUT has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

JOUT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.5Neutral
Stochastic55.2Neutral

JOUT's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

JOUT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricJOUTSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

JOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

JOUT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.15.4% above
20 week MA$45.74.2% above
50 week MA$46.13.3% above
100 week MA$39.521% above
200 week MA$43.98.3% above

JOUT has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

JOUT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$76.0$108.0+42%
2021$108.0$94.5-12%
2022$94.5$66.7-29%
2023$66.7$53.4-20%
2024$53.4$34.2-36%
2025$34.2$43.8+28%
2026 YTD$43.8$47.6+8.6%

JOUT has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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