JMIA

Jumia Technologies AG

54
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

JMIA has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

JMIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

JMIA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

JMIA PE Valuation

JMIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JMIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect JMIA's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JMIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$8.61
Downside-34%$3.70

Calculated from the latest close: $5.63 on Nov 12.

JMIA trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JMIA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JMIA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.42Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.11Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-0.93Q4 2024: $-1.08Q1 2025: $-0.96Q2 2025: $-1.02Q3 2025: $-1.18Q4 2025: $-1.03Q1 2026: $-1.03Q2 2026: $-0.94
Q3 2023: $-1.42Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.11Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-0.93Q4 2024: $-1.08Q1 2025: $-0.96Q2 2025: $-1.02Q3 2025: $-1.18Q4 2025: $-1.03Q1 2026: $-1.03Q2 2026: $-0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.94+$0.08
Q1 2026-$1.03-$0.07
Q4 2025-$1.03+$0.05
Q3 2025-$1.18-$0.25
Q2 2025-$1.02-$0.01
Q1 2025-$0.96+$0.15
Q4 2024-$1.08-$0.05
Q3 2024-$0.93+$0.49

JMIA is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.94 per share over the past year, against $3.65 at its worst in late 2019.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over JMIA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JMIA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $52M
Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $52M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$51.9M+14%
Q1 2026$50.6M+39%
Q4 2025$61.3M+34%
Q3 2025$45.6M+25%
Q2 2025$45.6M+25%
Q1 2025$36.3M-26%
Q4 2024$45.7M-2.2%
Q3 2024$36.4M-13%

JMIA's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $52M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over JMIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JMIA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$24MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$12M
Q3 2023: −$24MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$12.3M+$1.1M
Q1 2026-$13.1M+$9M
Q4 2025-$3.4M+$25M
Q3 2025-$13.8M+$13.9M
Q2 2025-$13.4M-$4.3M
Q1 2025-$22M-620%
Q4 2024-$28.4M-$18.3M
Q3 2024-$27.7M-$3.3M

JMIA has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$43M over the past year, against −$92M the year before.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

JMIA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 101MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 122MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 62M
Q3 2023: 101MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 122MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+59K shares
1 year+1.2%+754K shares
3 years-38%-38.6M shares
5 years-37%-36.6M shares
Available history-21%-16.4M shares

JMIA has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

JMIA Net Leverage

JMIA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

JMIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic18.2Oversold

JMIA's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

JMIA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

JMIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JMIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.996% below
20 week MA$6.4012% below
50 week MA$8.0530% below
100 week MA$6.8418% below
200 week MA$5.660.5% below

JMIA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

JMIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.13$43.6+612%
2021$43.6$12.4-72%
2022$12.4$3.21-74%
2023$3.21$3.53+10%
2024$3.53$4.01+14%
2025$4.01$12.0+198%
2026 YTD$12.0$5.63-53%

JMIA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +612% in 2020 to −74% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over JMIA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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