JMIA

Jumia Technologies AG

54
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

JMIA has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JMIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

JMIA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

JMIA PE Valuation

JMIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JMIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect JMIA's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JMIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$8.61
Downside-34%$3.70

Calculated from the latest close: $5.63 on Nov 12.

JMIA trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JMIA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JMIA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.42Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.11Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-0.93Q4 2024: $-1.08Q1 2025: $-0.96Q2 2025: $-1.02Q3 2025: $-1.18Q4 2025: $-1.03Q1 2026: $-1.03Q2 2026: $-0.94
Q3 2023: $-1.42Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.11Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-0.93Q4 2024: $-1.08Q1 2025: $-0.96Q2 2025: $-1.02Q3 2025: $-1.18Q4 2025: $-1.03Q1 2026: $-1.03Q2 2026: $-0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.94+$0.08
Q1 2026-$1.03-$0.07
Q4 2025-$1.03+$0.05
Q3 2025-$1.18-$0.25
Q2 2025-$1.02-$0.01
Q1 2025-$0.96+$0.15
Q4 2024-$1.08-$0.05
Q3 2024-$0.93+$0.49

JMIA is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.94 per share over the past year, against $3.65 at its worst in late 2019.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over JMIA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JMIA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $52M
Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $52M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$51.9M+14%
Q1 2026$50.6M+39%
Q4 2025$61.3M+34%
Q3 2025$45.6M+25%
Q2 2025$45.6M+25%
Q1 2025$36.3M-26%
Q4 2024$45.7M-2.2%
Q3 2024$36.4M-13%

JMIA's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $52M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over JMIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JMIA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$24MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$12M
Q3 2023: −$24MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$12.3M+$1.1M
Q1 2026-$13.1M+$9M
Q4 2025-$3.4M+$25M
Q3 2025-$13.8M+$13.9M
Q2 2025-$13.4M-$4.3M
Q1 2025-$22M-620%
Q4 2024-$28.4M-$18.3M
Q3 2024-$27.7M-$3.3M

JMIA has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

JMIA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 101MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 122MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 62M
Q3 2023: 101MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 122MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+59K shares
1 year+1.2%+754K shares
3 years-38%-38.6M shares
5 years-37%-36.6M shares
Available history-21%-16.4M shares

JMIA has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

JMIA Net Leverage

JMIA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

JMIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic18.2Oversold

JMIA's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

JMIA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

JMIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JMIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.996% below
20 week MA$6.4012% below
50 week MA$8.0530% below
100 week MA$6.8418% below
200 week MA$5.660.5% below

JMIA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

JMIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.13$43.6+612%
2021$43.6$12.4-72%
2022$12.4$3.21-74%
2023$3.21$3.53+10%
2024$3.53$4.01+14%
2025$4.01$12.0+198%
2026 YTD$12.0$5.63-53%

JMIA has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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