JFIN

Jiayin Group Inc.

51
Fundamentals17/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

JFIN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over JFIN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

JFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Stable
Healthy

JFIN's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is weak.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

JFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.9x7.7x12x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.9x7.7x12x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap1.4x$0.97-31%
Fair1.9x$1.30-6.8%
Current2x$1.39—
Expensive4.6x$3.24+133%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JFIN's PE is 2.0x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS has the edge over JFIN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for JFIN, with profitability improving.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.

JFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$2.26
Downside-38%$0.86

Calculated from the latest close: $1.39 on Nov 12.

JFIN trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JFIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JFIN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.10Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $3.63Q2 2024: $3.38Q3 2024: $3.24Q4 2024: $2.99Q1 2025: $3.73Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.88Q4 2025: $4.39Q1 2026: $2.70Q2 2026: $0.70
Q3 2023: $4.10Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $3.63Q2 2024: $3.38Q3 2024: $3.24Q4 2024: $2.99Q1 2025: $3.73Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.88Q4 2025: $4.39Q1 2026: $2.70Q2 2026: $0.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.70-85%
Q1 2026$2.70-28%
Q4 2025$4.39+47%
Q3 2025$4.88+51%
Q2 2025$4.54+34%
Q1 2025$3.73+2.8%
Q4 2024$2.99-18%
Q3 2024$3.24-21%

JFIN earned $0.70 per share over the past year, down 85% from the year before.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over JFIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $220MQ4 2023: $240MQ1 2024: $221MQ2 2024: $222MQ3 2024: $217MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $221MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $111M
Q3 2023: $220MQ4 2023: $240MQ1 2024: $221MQ2 2024: $222MQ3 2024: $217MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $221MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $111M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$110.6M-61%
Q1 2026$112.9M-58%
Q4 2025$161.3M-23%
Q3 2025$220.6M+1.8%
Q2 2025$283.1M+28%
Q1 2025$266.5M+20%
Q4 2024$210.8M-12%
Q3 2024$216.8M-1.5%

JFIN's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $111M last quarter, down 61% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over JFIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JFIN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

JFIN's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over JFIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JFIN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 54MQ4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 52M
Q3 2023: 54MQ4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 52M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+68.1K shares
1 year-0.6%-305K shares
3 years-2.1%-1.1M shares
5 years-3%-1.6M shares
Available history-3%-1.6M shares

JFIN has 52M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over JFIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JFIN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.1xQ4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.1xQ4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.6xNet Cash

JFIN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over JFIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.2Neutral
Stochastic21.6Neutral

JFIN's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

JFIN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricJFINSector medianRelative
PE2x16x88% below
PE %562630 pts above

JFIN has the edge over TMUS on valuation relative to its sector.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

JFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.400.7% below
20 week MA$1.8926% below
50 week MA$4.0366% below
100 week MA$7.7282% below
200 week MA$6.6379% below

JFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over JFIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.20$3.23-38%
2021$3.23$2.43-25%
2022$2.43$2.18-10%
2023$2.18$5.18+138%
2024$5.18$6.33+22%
2025$6.33$6.20-2.1%
2026 YTD$6.20$1.39-78%

JFIN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 78% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over JFIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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