JEF
Jefferies Financial Group Inc.
JEF offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has a slight edge over JEF overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
JEF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JEF's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JEF.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
JEF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $26.66 | -42% |
| Current | 11x | $46.27 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $46.27 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $53.80 | +16% |
| Expensive | 26x | $105 | +126% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JEF's PE is in its fair range at 11.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11.0x next year's earnings.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over JEF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JEF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect JEF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over JEF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
JEF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.21 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.07 | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.82 | +44% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.96 | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.83 | -5.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.92 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.66 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.90 | +138% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.99 | +172% |
JEF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.07 over the past year, against $5.86 in late 2021.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
JEF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.2B | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +5.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6B | -8.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | +63% |
JEF's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +6.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -3.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 16% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.3% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.5% | -3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +8.3 points |
JEF's operating margin was 16% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over JEF on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
JEF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B | +1917% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | +$2.6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.8B | +$912.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $126M | +$831.9M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -3629% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.7B | -$1.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | +4531% |
JEF has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
JEF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +26.3M shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +6.9M shares |
| 3 years | -1% | -2.4M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -54.2M shares |
| Available history | -31% | -101M shares |
JEF has 230M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago, despite $440M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $68.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $197.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $174.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $29,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $918,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $56.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1,000 |
JEF spent $440M buying back its own shares over the past year, about eight times what it spent the year before.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over JEF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
JEF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 6.3x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
JEF's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JEF.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM has the edge over JEF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JEF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.1 | Neutral |
JEF's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
JEF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JEF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 13% below |
| PE % | 43 | 63 | 20 pts below |
JEF has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
JEF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $45.9 | 0.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $50.5 | 8.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $52.1 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $55.7 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $49.8 | 7.1% below |
JEF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 7.1% below its 200-week average.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over JEF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JEF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.2 | $22.6 | +12% |
| 2021 | $22.6 | $36.9 | +63% |
| 2022 | $36.9 | $33.4 | -9.6% |
| 2023 | $33.4 | $40.4 | +21% |
| 2024 | $40.4 | $78.9 | +95% |
| 2025 | $78.9 | $63.9 | -19% |
| 2026 YTD | $63.9 | $46.3 | -28% |
JEF has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 28% so far in 2026.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over JEF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.