JD

JD.com, Inc.

57
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

JD has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Strong

JD's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

JD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE91x182x273x365x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE91x182x273x365x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$14.79-46%
Fair15x$23.37-15%
Current18x$27.49—
Expensive30x$45.14+64%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JD's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$34.47
Downside-19%$22.27

Calculated from the latest close: $27.49 on Nov 12.

JD trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.25Q4 2023: $2.29Q1 2024: $2.38Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.39Q4 2024: $4.05Q1 2025: $4.44Q2 2025: $3.83Q3 2025: $3.18Q4 2025: $1.94Q1 2026: $1.39Q2 2026: $1.52
Q3 2023: $2.25Q4 2023: $2.29Q1 2024: $2.38Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.39Q4 2024: $4.05Q1 2025: $4.44Q2 2025: $3.83Q3 2025: $3.18Q4 2025: $1.94Q1 2026: $1.39Q2 2026: $1.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.52-60%
Q1 2026$1.39-69%
Q4 2025$1.94-52%
Q3 2025$3.18-6.2%
Q2 2025$3.83+29%
Q1 2025$4.44+87%
Q4 2024$4.05+77%
Q3 2024$3.39+51%

JD has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

JD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $37.2BQ4 2023: $45.9BQ1 2024: $39BQ2 2024: $43.7BQ3 2024: $39.1BQ4 2024: $52.1BQ1 2025: $45.2BQ2 2025: $53.5BQ3 2025: $44.9BQ4 2025: $52.9BQ1 2026: $47.1BQ2 2026: $51.8B
Q3 2023: $37.2BQ4 2023: $45.9BQ1 2024: $39BQ2 2024: $43.7BQ3 2024: $39.1BQ4 2024: $52.1BQ1 2025: $45.2BQ2 2025: $53.5BQ3 2025: $44.9BQ4 2025: $52.9BQ1 2026: $47.1BQ2 2026: $51.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$51.8B-3.2%
Q1 2026$47.1B+4.2%
Q4 2025$52.9B+1.5%
Q3 2025$44.9B+15%
Q2 2025$53.5B+22%
Q1 2025$45.2B+16%
Q4 2024$52.1B+13%
Q3 2024$39.1B+5.1%

JD's revenue has held roughly level: $51.8B last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over JD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: −$2.1BQ2 2024: $7.1BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: −$3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: −$677MQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: −$2.1BQ2 2024: $7.1BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: −$3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: −$677MQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+49%
Q1 2026-$676.5M+$2.4B
Q4 2025$2.2B-23%
Q3 2025-$1.6B+$142M
Q2 2025$3.2B-55%
Q1 2025-$3.1B-$959M
Q4 2024$2.8B+73%
Q3 2024-$1.7B-216%

JD has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

JD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4B
Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-24.5M shares
1 year-5.2%-77M shares
3 years-11%-175M shares
5 years-12%-187M shares
Available history-5.2%-77.6M shares

JD has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

JD Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.2xQ4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1x
Q3 2023: -1.2xQ4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.3xNet Cash

JD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

JD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.0Neutral
Stochastic28.1Neutral

JD's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

JD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricJDSector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %594712 pts above

JD is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.82.8% above
20 week MA$28.22.5% below
50 week MA$28.63.8% below
100 week MA$31.713% below
200 week MA$32.415% below

JD has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

JD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.9$84.5+135%
2021$84.5$68.7-19%
2022$68.7$56.4-18%
2023$56.4$28.9-49%
2024$28.9$35.0+21%
2025$35.0$29.4-16%
2026 YTD$29.4$27.5-6.5%

JD has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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