JD
JD.com, Inc.
JD has a slight edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
JD's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
JD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $14.79 | -46% |
| Fair | 15x | $23.37 | -15% |
| Current | 18x | $27.49 | — |
| Expensive | 30x | $45.14 | +64% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JD's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
JD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.52 | -60% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.39 | -69% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.94 | -52% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.18 | -6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.83 | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.44 | +87% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.05 | +77% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.39 | +51% |
JD has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
JD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $51.8B | -3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $47.1B | +4.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $52.9B | +1.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $44.9B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $53.5B | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.2B | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $52.1B | +13% |
| Q3 2024 | $39.1B | +5.1% |
JD's revenue has held roughly level: $51.8B last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.7% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2% | -3.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +1.8 points |
| Q3 2024 | 4.6% | +0.9 points |
JD has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over JD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +49% |
| Q1 2026 | -$676.5M | +$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.2B | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | +$142M |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2B | -55% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.1B | -$959M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +73% |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.7B | -216% |
JD still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $4.7B over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
JD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -24.5M shares |
| 1 year | -5.2% | -77M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -175M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -187M shares |
| Available history | -5.2% | -77.6M shares |
JD has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $3.2B |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $3.9B |
| Q3 2024 | — |
JD spent $3.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 17% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
JD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
JD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
JD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.1 | Neutral |
JD's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
JD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | JD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 59 | 47 | 12 pts above |
JD is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $26.8 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $28.2 | 2.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $28.6 | 3.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $31.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $32.4 | 15% below |
JD has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
JD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.9 | $84.5 | +135% |
| 2021 | $84.5 | $68.7 | -19% |
| 2022 | $68.7 | $56.4 | -18% |
| 2023 | $56.4 | $28.9 | -49% |
| 2024 | $28.9 | $35.0 | +21% |
| 2025 | $35.0 | $29.4 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.4 | $27.5 | -6.5% |
JD has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.