JBL

Jabil Inc.

66
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

JBL offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over JBL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JBL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

JBL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

JBL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x114x152x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x114x152x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$106-59%
Forward15x$260—
Fair21x$208-20%
Current27x$260—
Expensive40x$386+49%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JBL's PE is in its fair range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over JBL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JBL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for JBL, with profitability holding steady.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

JBL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$429.86
Downside-14%$224.78

Calculated from the latest close: $259.96 on Nov 12.

JBL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT trails JBL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JBL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.88Q1 2024: $11.67Q2 2024: $11.01Q3 2024: $11.17Q4 2024: $10.58Q1 2025: $4.33Q2 2025: $5.30Q3 2025: $5.92Q4 2025: $6.39Q1 2026: $7.41Q2 2026: $7.97Q3 2026: $9.75Forward: $17.71
Q4 2023: $5.88Q1 2024: $11.67Q2 2024: $11.01Q3 2024: $11.17Q4 2024: $10.58Q1 2025: $4.33Q2 2025: $5.30Q3 2025: $5.92Q4 2025: $6.39Q1 2026: $7.41Q2 2026: $7.97Q3 2026: $9.75Forward: $17.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.71+82%
Q3 2026$9.75+65%
Q2 2026$7.97+50%
Q1 2026$7.41+71%
Q4 2025$6.39-40%
Q3 2025$5.92-47%
Q2 2025$5.30-52%
Q1 2025$4.33-63%
Q4 2024$10.58+80%

JBL earned $9.75 per share over the past year, up 65% from the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over JBL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JBL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7.8BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $8.3BQ1 2026: $8.3BQ2 2026: $8.8BQ3 2026: $10.6B
Q4 2023: $8.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7.8BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $8.3BQ1 2026: $8.3BQ2 2026: $8.8BQ3 2026: $10.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.6B+29%
Q2 2026$8.8B+12%
Q1 2026$8.3B+23%
Q4 2025$8.3B+19%
Q3 2025$8.3B+18%
Q2 2025$7.8B+16%
Q1 2025$6.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$7B-17%

JBL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $10.6B last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over JBL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JBL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: −$48MQ2 2024: $409MQ3 2024: $411MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $320MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $351MQ3 2026: $487M
Q4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: −$48MQ2 2024: $409MQ3 2024: $411MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $320MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $351MQ3 2026: $487M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$487M+16%
Q2 2026$351M+9.7%
Q1 2026$308M+41%
Q4 2025$228M+6%
Q3 2025$419M+1.9%
Q2 2025$320M-22%
Q1 2025$218M+$266M
Q4 2024$215M+34%

JBL has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

JBL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 122MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 111MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 122MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 111MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+400K shares
1 year-3.6%-4M shares
3 years-21%-29M shares
5 years-30%-45.2M shares
Available history-32%-49.6M shares

JBL has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JBL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

JBL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over JBL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JBL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic10.5Oversold

JBL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

JBL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricJBLSector medianRelative
PE27x28x4.3% below
PE %603525 pts above

JBL has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

JBL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$281.47.6% below
20 week MA$304.915% below
50 week MA$294.512% below
100 week MA$238.39.1% above
200 week MA$175.648% above

JBL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 48% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over JBL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JBL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.2$42.9+4%
2021$42.9$69.8+63%
2022$69.8$69.0-1.1%
2023$69.0$127.4+85%
2024$127.4$145.9+15%
2025$145.9$236.1+62%
2026 YTD$236.1$260.0+10%

JBL has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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