JAZZ

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc

55
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential5/ 100
Risk potential76/ 100

JAZZ has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

JAZZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

JAZZ's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

JAZZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE600x1200x1800x2400x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE600x1200x1800x2400x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.1x$240—
Cheap15x$45.24-81%
Fair20x$62.02-74%
Current78x$240—
Expensive140x$430+79%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JAZZ's PE is in its expensive range at 78x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over JAZZ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JAZZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

JAZZ has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JAZZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+4%$250.32
Downside-76%$58.50

Calculated from the latest close: $240.37 on Nov 12.

JAZZ trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JAZZ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

JAZZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.10Q1 2024: $4.83Q2 2024: $5.80Q3 2024: $7.08Q4 2024: $8.65Q1 2025: $7.36Q2 2025: $-6.87Q3 2025: $-6.21Q4 2025: $-5.84Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $14.63Q3 2026: $3.07Forward: $26.33
Q4 2023: $6.10Q1 2024: $4.83Q2 2024: $5.80Q3 2024: $7.08Q4 2024: $8.65Q1 2025: $7.36Q2 2025: $-6.87Q3 2025: $-6.21Q4 2025: $-5.84Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $14.63Q3 2026: $3.07Forward: $26.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.33+758%
Q3 2026$3.07+$9.28
Q2 2026$14.63+$21.50
Q1 2026$0.11-99%
Q4 2025-$5.84-168%
Q3 2025-$6.21-188%
Q2 2025-$6.87-218%
Q1 2025$7.36+52%
Q4 2024$8.65+42%

JAZZ has returned to profit: it earned $3.07 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over JAZZ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JAZZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $902MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $898MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $902MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $898MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+10%
Q2 2026$1.2B+16%
Q1 2026$1.1B+19%
Q4 2025$1.2B+10%
Q3 2025$1.1B+6.7%
Q2 2025$1B+2.1%
Q1 2025$897.8M-0.5%
Q4 2024$1.1B+7.5%

JAZZ's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over JAZZ on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JAZZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $260MQ2 2024: $324MQ3 2024: $388MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $459MQ4 2025: $346MQ1 2026: $389MQ2 2026: $398MQ3 2026: $490M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $260MQ2 2024: $324MQ3 2024: $388MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $459MQ4 2025: $346MQ1 2026: $389MQ2 2026: $398MQ3 2026: $490M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$489.9M+6.6%
Q2 2026$397.6M+424%
Q1 2026$388.5M-6.6%
Q4 2025$345.8M-10%
Q3 2025$459.4M+18%
Q2 2025$75.9M-77%
Q1 2025$415.9M+60%
Q4 2024$385.3M+145%

JAZZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.6B over the past year, up 21% from the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

JAZZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 69MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 69MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.8%-4.7M shares
1 year+5%+3.1M shares
3 years-9.2%-6.6M shares
5 years+5.6%+3.4M shares
Available history+12%+7.2M shares

JAZZ has 65M diluted shares, up 5% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over JAZZ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JAZZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 11.0xQ3 2025: 21.1xQ4 2025: 14.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 3.1x
Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 11.0xQ3 2025: 21.1xQ4 2025: 14.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.1xElevated
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 202514.9xHigh
Q3 202521.1xHigh
Q2 202511.0xHigh
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

JAZZ's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over JAZZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JAZZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.6Neutral
Stochastic43.8Neutral

JAZZ's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

JAZZ PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricJAZZSector medianRelative
PE78x26x203% above
PE %812952 pts above

JAZZ is trading at 78x earnings, a 203% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over JAZZ on valuation relative to its sector.

JAZZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$225.96.4% above
20 week MA$239.10.5% above
50 week MA$211.014% above
100 week MA$167.543% above
200 week MA$146.065% above

JAZZ has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

JAZZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$150.9$157.3+4.2%
2021$157.3$128.2-18%
2022$128.2$157.2+23%
2023$157.2$123.0-22%
2024$123.0$124.6+1.3%
2025$124.6$170.5+37%
2026 YTD$170.5$240.4+41%

JAZZ has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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