JAKK
JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
JAKK has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JAKK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
JAKK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
JAKK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.4x | $7.23 | -80% |
| Fair | 6.4x | $13.62 | -62% |
| Current | 17x | $36.12 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $47.20 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JAKK has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
JAKK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for JAKK to show an outlook.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
JAKK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.14 | +275% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.40 | -60% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.70 | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.86 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.57 | -80% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.47 | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.14 | -9.8% |
JAKK has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
JAKK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $254.2M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $139.2M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $106.7M | -5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $127.1M | -2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $211.2M | -34% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.1M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $113.3M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $130.7M | +2.6% |
JAKK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $254M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.2% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.8% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.3% | -7.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | -11% | +0.8 points |
JAKK has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over JAKK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
JAKK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$11.8M | +$361K |
| Q2 2026 | -$161K | +$16.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $16.2M | +$20M |
| Q4 2025 | $31.5M | -37% |
| Q3 2025 | -$12.2M | -225% |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.6M | +$571K |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.8M | +$11.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $50.2M | +$74.7M |
JAKK has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
JAKK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.7% | +428K shares |
| 1 year | +6.5% | +726K shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +91% | +5.7M shares |
| Available history | +301% | +8.9M shares |
JAKK has 12M diluted shares, up 6.5% from a year ago.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has the edge over JAKK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
JAKK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
JAKK has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has more cash than debt.
JAKK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 84.2 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 87.4 | Overbought |
JAKK's weekly RSI is 84 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
JAKK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | JAKK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 6.3% below |
| PE % | 73 | 47 | 26 pts above |
JAKK has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
JAKK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $30.1 | 20% above |
| 20 week MA | $26.9 | 34% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.9 | 58% above |
| 100 week MA | $22.2 | 63% above |
| 200 week MA | $22.6 | 60% above |
JAKK has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 60% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.
JAKK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.81 | $5.10 | -48% |
| 2021 | $5.10 | $10.6 | +108% |
| 2022 | $10.6 | $16.5 | +56% |
| 2023 | $16.5 | $35.6 | +115% |
| 2024 | $35.6 | $27.4 | -23% |
| 2025 | $27.4 | $16.8 | -39% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.8 | $36.1 | +115% |
JAKK has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.