JAKK
JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
JAKK has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JAKK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
JAKK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
JAKK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.4x | $7.23 | -80% |
| Fair | 6.4x | $13.62 | -62% |
| Current | 17x | $36.12 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $47.20 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JAKK's PE is in its expensive range at 17x.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JAKK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for JAKK to show an outlook.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
JAKK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.14 | +275% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.40 | -60% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.70 | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.86 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.57 | -80% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.47 | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.14 | -9.8% |
JAKK has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
JAKK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $254.2M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $139.2M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $106.7M | -5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $127.1M | -2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $211.2M | -34% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.1M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $113.3M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $130.7M | +2.6% |
JAKK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $254M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.2% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.8% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.3% | -7.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | -11% | +0.8 points |
JAKK has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over JAKK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
JAKK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$11.8M | +$361K |
| Q2 2026 | -$161K | +$16.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $16.2M | +$20M |
| Q4 2025 | $31.5M | -37% |
| Q3 2025 | -$12.2M | -225% |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.6M | +$571K |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.8M | +$11.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $50.2M | +$74.7M |
JAKK has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
JAKK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.7% | +428K shares |
| 1 year | +6.5% | +726K shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +91% | +5.7M shares |
| Available history | +301% | +8.9M shares |
JAKK has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
JAKK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
JAKK has more cash than debt.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
JAKK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 84.2 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 87.4 | Overbought |
JAKK's weekly RSI is 84 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
JAKK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | JAKK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 6.3% below |
| PE % | 73 | 47 | 26 pts above |
JAKK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JAKK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $30.1 | 20% above |
| 20 week MA | $26.9 | 34% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.9 | 58% above |
| 100 week MA | $22.2 | 63% above |
| 200 week MA | $22.6 | 60% above |
JAKK has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
JAKK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.81 | $5.10 | -48% |
| 2021 | $5.10 | $10.6 | +108% |
| 2022 | $10.6 | $16.5 | +56% |
| 2023 | $16.5 | $35.6 | +115% |
| 2024 | $35.6 | $27.4 | -23% |
| 2025 | $27.4 | $16.8 | -39% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.8 | $36.1 | +115% |
JAKK has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.