JAKK
JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
JAKK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over JAKK overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
JAKK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
JAKK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
JAKK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.4x | $7.23 | -80% |
| Fair | 6.4x | $13.62 | -62% |
| Current | 17x | $36.12 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $47.20 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JAKK's PE is in its expensive range at 17x.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over JAKK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JAKK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for JAKK to show an outlook.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
JAKK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.14 | +275% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.40 | -60% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.70 | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.86 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.57 | -80% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.47 | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.14 | -9.8% |
JAKK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.14 over the past year, against $8.86 in late 2022.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
JAKK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $254.2M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $139.2M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $106.7M | -5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $127.1M | -2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $211.2M | -34% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.1M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $113.3M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $130.7M | +2.6% |
JAKK has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.2% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.8% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.3% | -7.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | -11% | +0.8 points |
JAKK has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
JAKK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$11.8M | +$361K |
| Q2 2026 | -$161K | +$16.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $16.2M | +$20M |
| Q4 2025 | $31.5M | -37% |
| Q3 2025 | -$12.2M | -225% |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.6M | +$571K |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.8M | +$11.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $50.2M | +$74.7M |
JAKK has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
JAKK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.7% | +428K shares |
| 1 year | +6.5% | +726K shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +91% | +5.7M shares |
| Available history | +301% | +8.9M shares |
JAKK has 12M diluted shares, up 6.5% from a year ago.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over JAKK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
JAKK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
JAKK has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
JAKK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 84.2 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 87.4 | Overbought |
JAKK's weekly RSI is 84 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
JAKK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | JAKK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 6.3% below |
| PE % | 73 | 47 | 26 pts above |
JAKK has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
JAKK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $30.1 | 20% above |
| 20 week MA | $26.9 | 34% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.9 | 58% above |
| 100 week MA | $22.2 | 63% above |
| 200 week MA | $22.6 | 60% above |
JAKK has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
JAKK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.81 | $5.10 | -48% |
| 2021 | $5.10 | $10.6 | +108% |
| 2022 | $10.6 | $16.5 | +56% |
| 2023 | $16.5 | $35.6 | +115% |
| 2024 | $35.6 | $27.4 | -23% |
| 2025 | $27.4 | $16.8 | -39% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.8 | $36.1 | +115% |
JAKK has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.