JAKK
JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
JAKK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has a slight edge over JAKK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
JAKK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
JAKK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
JAKK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.4x | $7.23 | -80% |
| Fair | 6.4x | $13.62 | -62% |
| Current | 17x | $36.12 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $47.20 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JAKK's PE is in its expensive range at 17x.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JAKK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for JAKK to show an outlook.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
JAKK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.14 | +275% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.40 | -60% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.70 | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.86 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.57 | -80% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.47 | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.14 | -9.8% |
JAKK has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
JAKK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $254.2M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $139.2M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $106.7M | -5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $127.1M | -2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $211.2M | -34% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.1M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $113.3M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $130.7M | +2.6% |
JAKK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $254M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.2% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.8% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.3% | -7.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | -11% | +0.8 points |
JAKK has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over JAKK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JAKK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$11.8M | +$361K |
| Q2 2026 | -$161K | +$16.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $16.2M | +$20M |
| Q4 2025 | $31.5M | -37% |
| Q3 2025 | -$12.2M | -225% |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.6M | +$571K |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.8M | +$11.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $50.2M | +$74.7M |
JAKK has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
JAKK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.7% | +428K shares |
| 1 year | +6.5% | +726K shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +91% | +5.7M shares |
| Available history | +301% | +8.9M shares |
JAKK has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
JAKK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
JAKK has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
JAKK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 84.2 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 87.4 | Overbought |
JAKK's weekly RSI is 84 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
JAKK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | JAKK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 6.3% below |
| PE % | 73 | 47 | 26 pts above |
JAKK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JAKK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $30.1 | 20% above |
| 20 week MA | $26.9 | 34% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.9 | 58% above |
| 100 week MA | $22.2 | 63% above |
| 200 week MA | $22.6 | 60% above |
JAKK has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
JAKK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.81 | $5.10 | -48% |
| 2021 | $5.10 | $10.6 | +108% |
| 2022 | $10.6 | $16.5 | +56% |
| 2023 | $16.5 | $35.6 | +115% |
| 2024 | $35.6 | $27.4 | -23% |
| 2025 | $27.4 | $16.8 | -39% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.8 | $36.1 | +115% |
JAKK has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.