JAKK

JAKKS Pacific, Inc.

55
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

JAKK has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JAKK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

JAKK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

JAKK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.4x$7.23-80%
Fair6.4x$13.62-62%
Current17x$36.12—
Expensive22x$47.20+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JAKK's PE is in its expensive range at 17x.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JAKK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for JAKK to show an outlook.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JAKK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$49.90
Downside-20%$29.01

Calculated from the latest close: $36.12 on Nov 12.

JAKK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails JAKK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JAKK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.48Q1 2024: $2.84Q2 2024: $2.73Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $3.14Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $2.14
Q4 2023: $3.48Q1 2024: $2.84Q2 2024: $2.73Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $3.14Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $2.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.14+275%
Q2 2026$1.40-60%
Q1 2026$0.70-83%
Q4 2025$0.86-73%
Q3 2025$0.57-80%
Q2 2025$3.47+27%
Q1 2025$4.15+46%
Q4 2024$3.14-9.8%

JAKK has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

JAKK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $322MQ4 2024: $131MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $254M
Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $322MQ4 2024: $131MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $254M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$254.2M+20%
Q2 2026$139.2M+17%
Q1 2026$106.7M-5.8%
Q4 2025$127.1M-2.8%
Q3 2025$211.2M-34%
Q2 2025$119.1M-20%
Q1 2025$113.3M+26%
Q4 2024$130.7M+2.6%

JAKK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $254M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over JAKK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JAKK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: −$161,000Q3 2026: −$12M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: −$161,000Q3 2026: −$12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.8M+$361K
Q2 2026-$161K+$16.5M
Q1 2026$16.2M+$20M
Q4 2025$31.5M-37%
Q3 2025-$12.2M-225%
Q2 2025-$16.6M+$571K
Q1 2025-$3.8M+$11.3M
Q4 2024$50.2M+$74.7M

JAKK has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

JAKK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.7%+428K shares
1 year+6.5%+726K shares
3 years+13%+1.3M shares
5 years+91%+5.7M shares
Available history+301%+8.9M shares

JAKK has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

JAKK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

JAKK has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

JAKK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI84.2Overbought
Stochastic87.4Overbought

JAKK's weekly RSI is 84 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

JAKK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricJAKKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x6.3% below
PE %734726 pts above

JAKK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JAKK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.120% above
20 week MA$26.934% above
50 week MA$22.958% above
100 week MA$22.263% above
200 week MA$22.660% above

JAKK has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

JAKK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.81$5.10-48%
2021$5.10$10.6+108%
2022$10.6$16.5+56%
2023$16.5$35.6+115%
2024$35.6$27.4-23%
2025$27.4$16.8-39%
2026 YTD$16.8$36.1+115%

JAKK has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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