JACK

Jack in the Box Inc.

59
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

JACK has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

JACK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Unavailable
Weak

JACK's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

JACK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$14.07—
Current8x$14.07—
Cheap9.7x$17.01+21%
Fair13x$23.58+68%
Expensive23x$40.08+185%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JACK's PE is in its cheap range at 8.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.6x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JACK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect JACK's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over JACK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

JACK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$23.91
Downside-41%$8.31

Calculated from the latest close: $14.07 on Nov 12.

JACK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails JACK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JACK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.30Q1 2024: $5.69Q2 2024: $5.68Q3 2024: $-1.99Q3 2024: $-1.87Q1 2025: $-2.05Q2 2025: $-10.78Q3 2025: $-3.37Q3 2025: $-4.24Q1 2026: $-6.12Q2 2026: $1.88Q3 2026: $1.76Forward: $3.04
Q4 2023: $6.30Q1 2024: $5.69Q2 2024: $5.68Q3 2024: $-1.99Q3 2024: $-1.87Q1 2025: $-2.05Q2 2025: $-10.78Q3 2025: $-3.37Q3 2025: $-4.24Q1 2026: $-6.12Q2 2026: $1.88Q3 2026: $1.76Forward: $3.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.04+73%
Q2 2026$1.76+$5.13
Q1 2026$1.88+$12.66
Q1 2026-$6.12-$4.07
Q3 2025-$4.24-$2.37
Q2 2025-$3.37-$1.38
Q1 2025-$10.78-290%
Q1 2025-$2.05-136%
Q3 2024-$1.87-130%

JACK has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

JACK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $487MQ2 2024: $365MQ3 2024: $369MQ3 2024: $349MQ1 2025: $469MQ2 2025: $337MQ3 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $258M
Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $487MQ2 2024: $365MQ3 2024: $369MQ3 2024: $349MQ1 2025: $469MQ2 2025: $337MQ3 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $258M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$257.7M-23%
Q1 2026$254.3M-24%
Q1 2026$349.5M-26%
Q3 2025$326.2M-6.6%
Q2 2025$333M-9.8%
Q1 2025$336.7M-7.8%
Q1 2025$469.4M-3.7%
Q3 2024$349.3M-6.2%

JACK's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $258M last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over JACK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JACK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$62MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$153,000Q1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $30M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$62MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$153,000Q1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$29.9M-20%
Q1 2026$7.3M-90%
Q3 2025$15.8M+$16M
Q2 2025$37.2M+81%
Q1 2025$70.6M+$132.1M
Q3 2024-$153K-101%
Q1 2024-$5.6M-130%
Q1 2024-$61.5M-260%

RIVN has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 2.1% versus its history, compared with JACK at down 15%.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

JACK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2%+385K shares
1 year+1.6%+307K shares
3 years-5.8%-1.2M shares
5 years-13%-2.9M shares
Available history-25%-6.6M shares

JACK has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

JACK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 11.9xQ3 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 25.4xQ3 2025: 41.1xQ1 2026: 189.8xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 11.9xQ3 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 25.4xQ3 2025: 41.1xQ1 2026: 189.8xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.8xHigh
Q1 20267.7xHigh
Q1 2026189.8xHigh
Q3 202541.1xHigh
Q2 202525.4xHigh
Q1 202512.0xHigh
Q3 202412.0xHigh
Q2 202411.9xHigh

JACK's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

JACK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic24.1Neutral

JACK's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

JACK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricJACKSector medianRelative
PE8x18x56% below
PE %64741 pts below

JACK is trading at 8.0x earnings, a 56% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JACK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.99.2% above
20 week MA$14.74% below
50 week MA$15.38% below
100 week MA$20.331% below
200 week MA$45.069% below

JACK has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

JACK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.0$95.2+24%
2021$95.2$84.9-11%
2022$84.9$67.8-20%
2023$67.8$81.6+20%
2024$81.6$42.4-48%
2025$42.4$20.6-51%
2026 YTD$20.6$14.1-32%

JACK has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key