JACK

Jack in the Box Inc.

59
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

JACK offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has a slight edge over JACK overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

JACK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Unavailable
Weak

JACK's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

JACK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$14.07—
Current8x$14.07—
Cheap9.7x$17.01+21%
Fair13x$23.58+68%
Expensive23x$40.08+185%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JACK's PE is in its cheap range at 8.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.6x.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over JACK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JACK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JACK has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JACK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$23.91
Downside-41%$8.31

Calculated from the latest close: $14.07 on Nov 12.

JACK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails JACK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JACK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.30Q1 2024: $5.69Q2 2024: $5.68Q3 2024: $-1.99Q3 2024: $-1.87Q1 2025: $-2.05Q2 2025: $-10.78Q3 2025: $-3.37Q3 2025: $-4.24Q1 2026: $-6.12Q2 2026: $1.88Q3 2026: $1.76Forward: $3.04
Q4 2023: $6.30Q1 2024: $5.69Q2 2024: $5.68Q3 2024: $-1.99Q3 2024: $-1.87Q1 2025: $-2.05Q2 2025: $-10.78Q3 2025: $-3.37Q3 2025: $-4.24Q1 2026: $-6.12Q2 2026: $1.88Q3 2026: $1.76Forward: $3.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.04+73%
Q2 2026$1.76+$5.13
Q1 2026$1.88+$12.66
Q1 2026-$6.12-$4.07
Q3 2025-$4.24-$2.37
Q2 2025-$3.37-$1.38
Q1 2025-$10.78-290%
Q1 2025-$2.05-136%
Q3 2024-$1.87-130%

JACK has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

JACK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $487MQ2 2024: $365MQ3 2024: $369MQ3 2024: $349MQ1 2025: $469MQ2 2025: $337MQ3 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $258M
Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $487MQ2 2024: $365MQ3 2024: $369MQ3 2024: $349MQ1 2025: $469MQ2 2025: $337MQ3 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $258M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$257.7M-23%
Q1 2026$254.3M-24%
Q1 2026$349.5M-26%
Q3 2025$326.2M-6.6%
Q2 2025$333M-9.8%
Q1 2025$336.7M-7.8%
Q1 2025$469.4M-3.7%
Q3 2024$349.3M-6.2%

JACK's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $258M last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over JACK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JACK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$62MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$153,000Q1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $30M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$62MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$153,000Q1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$29.9M-20%
Q1 2026$7.3M-90%
Q3 2025$15.8M+$16M
Q2 2025$37.2M+81%
Q1 2025$70.6M+$132.1M
Q3 2024-$153K-101%
Q1 2024-$5.6M-130%
Q1 2024-$61.5M-260%

JACK has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 15% versus its history, compared with NKE at down 52%.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

JACK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2%+385K shares
1 year+1.6%+307K shares
3 years-5.8%-1.2M shares
5 years-13%-2.9M shares
Available history-25%-6.6M shares

JACK has 19M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over JACK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JACK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 11.9xQ3 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 25.4xQ3 2025: 41.1xQ1 2026: 189.8xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 11.9xQ3 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 25.4xQ3 2025: 41.1xQ1 2026: 189.8xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.8xHigh
Q1 20267.7xHigh
Q1 2026189.8xHigh
Q3 202541.1xHigh
Q2 202525.4xHigh
Q1 202512.0xHigh
Q3 202412.0xHigh
Q2 202411.9xHigh

JACK's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over JACK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JACK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic24.1Neutral

JACK's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

JACK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricJACKSector medianRelative
PE8x18x56% below
PE %64741 pts below

JACK has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

JACK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.99.2% above
20 week MA$14.74% below
50 week MA$15.38% below
100 week MA$20.331% below
200 week MA$45.069% below

JACK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 69% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

JACK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.0$95.2+24%
2021$95.2$84.9-11%
2022$84.9$67.8-20%
2023$67.8$81.6+20%
2024$81.6$42.4-48%
2025$42.4$20.6-51%
2026 YTD$20.6$14.1-32%

JACK has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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