JACK
Jack in the Box Inc.
JACK has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
JACK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Weak |
JACK's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
JACK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.6x | $14.07 | — |
| Current | 8x | $14.07 | — |
| Cheap | 9.7x | $17.01 | +21% |
| Fair | 13x | $23.58 | +68% |
| Expensive | 23x | $40.08 | +185% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JACK's PE is in its cheap range at 8.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.6x.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JACK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect JACK's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over JACK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
JACK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.04 | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.76 | +$5.13 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.88 | +$12.66 |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.12 | -$4.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.24 | -$2.37 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.37 | -$1.38 |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.78 | -290% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.05 | -136% |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.87 | -130% |
JACK has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
JACK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $257.7M | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $254.3M | -24% |
| Q1 2026 | $349.5M | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $326.2M | -6.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $333M | -9.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $336.7M | -7.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $469.4M | -3.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $349.3M | -6.2% |
JACK's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $258M last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 20% | +8.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +61 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.4% | -7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +40 points |
| Q1 2025 | -47% | -62 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | +0.5 points |
JACK has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over JACK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JACK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $29.9M | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.3M | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.8M | +$16M |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2M | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.6M | +$132.1M |
| Q3 2024 | -$153K | -101% |
| Q1 2024 | -$5.6M | -130% |
| Q1 2024 | -$61.5M | -260% |
NIO has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 100% versus its history, compared with JACK at down 15%.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
JACK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2% | +385K shares |
| 1 year | +1.6% | +307K shares |
| 3 years | -5.8% | -1.2M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.9M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -6.6M shares |
JACK has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $3,000 |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $5M |
| Q3 2024 | $15M |
| Q2 2024 | $15M |
| Q1 2024 | $15M |
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
JACK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 7.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 189.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 41.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 25.4x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 12.0x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 12.0x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 11.9x | High |
JACK's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
JACK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.1 | Neutral |
JACK's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
JACK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | JACK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8x | 18x | 56% below |
| PE % | 6 | 47 | 41 pts below |
JACK is trading at 8.0x earnings, a 56% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JACK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.9 | 9.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $14.7 | 4% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.3 | 8% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.3 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $45.0 | 69% below |
JACK has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
JACK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.0 | $95.2 | +24% |
| 2021 | $95.2 | $84.9 | -11% |
| 2022 | $84.9 | $67.8 | -20% |
| 2023 | $67.8 | $81.6 | +20% |
| 2024 | $81.6 | $42.4 | -48% |
| 2025 | $42.4 | $20.6 | -51% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.6 | $14.1 | -32% |
JACK has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.