JACK

Jack in the Box Inc.

59
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

JACK has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

JACK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Unavailable
Weak

JACK's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

JACK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$14.07—
Current8x$14.07—
Cheap9.7x$17.01+21%
Fair13x$23.58+68%
Expensive23x$40.08+185%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JACK's PE is in its cheap range at 8.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.6x.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JACK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect JACK's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JACK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$23.91
Downside-41%$8.31

Calculated from the latest close: $14.07 on Nov 12.

JACK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails JACK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JACK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.30Q1 2024: $5.69Q2 2024: $5.68Q3 2024: $-1.99Q3 2024: $-1.87Q1 2025: $-2.05Q2 2025: $-10.78Q3 2025: $-3.37Q3 2025: $-4.24Q1 2026: $-6.12Q2 2026: $1.88Q3 2026: $1.76Forward: $3.04
Q4 2023: $6.30Q1 2024: $5.69Q2 2024: $5.68Q3 2024: $-1.99Q3 2024: $-1.87Q1 2025: $-2.05Q2 2025: $-10.78Q3 2025: $-3.37Q3 2025: $-4.24Q1 2026: $-6.12Q2 2026: $1.88Q3 2026: $1.76Forward: $3.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.04+73%
Q2 2026$1.76+$5.13
Q1 2026$1.88+$12.66
Q1 2026-$6.12-$4.07
Q3 2025-$4.24-$2.37
Q2 2025-$3.37-$1.38
Q1 2025-$10.78-290%
Q1 2025-$2.05-136%
Q3 2024-$1.87-130%

JACK has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

JACK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $487MQ2 2024: $365MQ3 2024: $369MQ3 2024: $349MQ1 2025: $469MQ2 2025: $337MQ3 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $258M
Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $487MQ2 2024: $365MQ3 2024: $369MQ3 2024: $349MQ1 2025: $469MQ2 2025: $337MQ3 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $258M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$257.7M-23%
Q1 2026$254.3M-24%
Q1 2026$349.5M-26%
Q3 2025$326.2M-6.6%
Q2 2025$333M-9.8%
Q1 2025$336.7M-7.8%
Q1 2025$469.4M-3.7%
Q3 2024$349.3M-6.2%

JACK's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $258M last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over JACK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JACK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$62MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$153,000Q1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $30M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$62MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$153,000Q1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$29.9M-20%
Q1 2026$7.3M-90%
Q3 2025$15.8M+$16M
Q2 2025$37.2M+81%
Q1 2025$70.6M+$132.1M
Q3 2024-$153K-101%
Q1 2024-$5.6M-130%
Q1 2024-$61.5M-260%

JACK has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 15% versus its history, compared with LCID at down 75%.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

JACK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2%+385K shares
1 year+1.6%+307K shares
3 years-5.8%-1.2M shares
5 years-13%-2.9M shares
Available history-25%-6.6M shares

JACK has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

JACK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 11.9xQ3 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 25.4xQ3 2025: 41.1xQ1 2026: 189.8xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 11.9xQ3 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 25.4xQ3 2025: 41.1xQ1 2026: 189.8xQ2 2026: 7.7xQ3 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.8xHigh
Q1 20267.7xHigh
Q1 2026189.8xHigh
Q3 202541.1xHigh
Q2 202525.4xHigh
Q1 202512.0xHigh
Q3 202412.0xHigh
Q2 202411.9xHigh

JACK's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

JACK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic24.1Neutral

JACK's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

JACK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricJACKSector medianRelative
PE8x18x56% below
PE %64741 pts below

JACK is trading at 8.0x earnings, a 56% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JACK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.99.2% above
20 week MA$14.74% below
50 week MA$15.38% below
100 week MA$20.331% below
200 week MA$45.069% below

JACK has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

JACK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.0$95.2+24%
2021$95.2$84.9-11%
2022$84.9$67.8-20%
2023$67.8$81.6+20%
2024$81.6$42.4-48%
2025$42.4$20.6-51%
2026 YTD$20.6$14.1-32%

JACK has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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