ITUB
Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A.
ITUB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over ITUB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
ITUB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ITUB's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ITUB.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
ITUB PE Valuation
ITUB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
ITUB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ITUB's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over ITUB on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
ITUB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.73 | +1.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.71 | -1.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.71 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.74 | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.72 | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.72 | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.71 | +18% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.68 | +17% |
ITUB earned $0.73 per share over the past year, up 1.4% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over ITUB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ITUB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $17.8B | -2.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.3B | +1.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.4B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.2B | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $18.2B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $17B | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.7B | +10% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | -6.1% |
ITUB's revenue is growing: $17.8B last quarter, down 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.5% | -5.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 13% | +0.2 points |
ITUB's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 4.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over ITUB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over ITUB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ITUB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $12.8B | +489% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | +$1.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.1B | +762% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.3B | +$20B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +$2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.4B | -129% |
| Q4 2024 | $935.4M | +$4.2B |
| Q3 2024 | -$6.8B | -$6.2B |
ITUB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
ITUB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +27.7M shares |
| 1 year | +2.5% | +273M shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +1.3B shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +1.3B shares |
| Available history | +14% | +1.3B shares |
ITUB has 11.1B diluted shares, up 2.5% from a year ago, despite $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $300.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $309.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $214M |
| Q3 2025 | $342.1M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $14.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $18.1M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
ITUB spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over ITUB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
ITUB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 12.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 14.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 12.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 12.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 13.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 12.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 12.0x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 13.0x | High |
ITUB's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ITUB.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS has the edge over ITUB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ITUB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.4 | Oversold |
ITUB's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
ITUB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ITUB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 13x | — |
ITUB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ITUB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.48 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $8.23 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.17 | 9.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.20 | 2.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.29 | 17% above |
ITUB has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 17% above its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over ITUB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ITUB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.82 | $4.64 | -32% |
| 2021 | $4.64 | $3.40 | -27% |
| 2022 | $3.40 | $4.43 | +30% |
| 2023 | $4.43 | $6.32 | +43% |
| 2024 | $6.32 | $4.53 | -28% |
| 2025 | $4.53 | $7.10 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.10 | $7.37 | +3.8% |
ITUB has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over ITUB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.