ITRI
Itron, Inc.
ITRI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over ITRI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
ITRI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
ITRI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ITRI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $96.41 | — |
| Current | 16x | $96.41 | — |
| Cheap | 17x | $104 | +7.7% |
| Fair | 25x | $155 | +61% |
| Expensive | 58x | $357 | +270% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ITRI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over ITRI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ITRI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ITRI, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
ITRI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.78 | +9.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.18 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.98 | +2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.26 | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.50 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.56 | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.85 | +44% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.48 | +57% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.18 | +145% |
ITRI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.18 over the past year, up 11% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ITRI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
ITRI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $599.3M | +3% |
| Q2 2026 | $562.9M | -7.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $587M | -3.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $571.7M | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $581.6M | -5.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $606.8M | -0.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $607.2M | +0.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $612.9M | +6.2% |
ITRI's revenue has held roughly level: $599M last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | +3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | +1.7 points |
ITRI's operating margin was 16% last quarter, up 1.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ITRI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over ITRI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ITRI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $95.5M | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.5M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $79M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $111.5M | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $113.4M | +93% |
| Q2 2025 | $90.7M | +103% |
| Q1 2025 | $67.5M | +98% |
| Q4 2024 | $70.2M | +78% |
ITRI has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
ITRI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -197K shares |
| 1 year | -4.8% | -2.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.3% | -1.5M shares |
| 5 years | -1.8% | -829K shares |
| Available history | +11% | +4.4M shares |
ITRI has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $52.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $100M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
ITRI spent $252M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
ITRI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
ITRI's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over ITRI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ITRI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.0 | Neutral |
ITRI's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
ITRI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ITRI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 28x | 44% below |
| PE % | 13 | 35 | 22 pts below |
ITRI has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ITRI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $90.4 | 6.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $92.4 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $91.5 | 5.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $102.9 | 6.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $92.0 | 4.8% above |
ITRI's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 4.8% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
ITRI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $83.8 | $93.9 | +12% |
| 2021 | $93.9 | $66.6 | -29% |
| 2022 | $66.6 | $49.6 | -26% |
| 2023 | $49.6 | $75.5 | +52% |
| 2024 | $75.5 | $109.2 | +45% |
| 2025 | $109.2 | $96.5 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $96.5 | $96.4 | -0.1% |
ITRI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over ITRI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.