IT

Gartner, Inc.

80
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

IT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over IT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

IT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

IT's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

IT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$191—
Current14x$191—
Cheap21x$288+51%
Fair36x$503+164%
Expensive49x$692+263%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IT's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over IT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect IT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

IT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$263.25
Downside-13%$165.34

Calculated from the latest close: $190.84 on Nov 12.

IT trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.08Q1 2024: $10.07Q2 2024: $10.52Q3 2024: $13.58Q4 2024: $16.00Q1 2025: $16.04Q2 2025: $16.22Q3 2025: $11.37Q4 2025: $9.65Q1 2026: $10.12Q2 2026: $11.15Q3 2026: $14.03Forward: $16.18
Q4 2023: $11.08Q1 2024: $10.07Q2 2024: $10.52Q3 2024: $13.58Q4 2024: $16.00Q1 2025: $16.04Q2 2025: $16.22Q3 2025: $11.37Q4 2025: $9.65Q1 2026: $10.12Q2 2026: $11.15Q3 2026: $14.03Forward: $16.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$16.18+15%
Q3 2026$14.03+23%
Q2 2026$11.15-31%
Q1 2026$10.12-37%
Q4 2025$9.65-40%
Q3 2025$11.37-16%
Q2 2025$16.22+54%
Q1 2025$16.04+59%
Q4 2024$16.00+44%

IT earned $14.03 per share over the past year, up 23% from the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over IT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-1.3%
Q2 2026$1.7B-0.6%
Q1 2026$1.5B-1.5%
Q4 2025$1.8B+2.2%
Q3 2025$1.5B+2.7%
Q2 2025$1.7B+5.7%
Q1 2025$1.5B+4.2%
Q4 2024$1.7B+8.1%

IT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.5B last quarter, down 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over IT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $565MQ4 2024: $311MQ1 2025: $288MQ2 2025: $347MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $378MQ3 2026: $275M
Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $565MQ4 2024: $311MQ1 2025: $288MQ2 2025: $347MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $378MQ3 2026: $275M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$275.2M+2.2%
Q2 2026$378.4M+8.9%
Q1 2026$370.6M+29%
Q4 2025$270.7M-13%
Q3 2025$269.3M-52%
Q2 2025$347.3M+2%
Q1 2025$287.9M+73%
Q4 2024$311.4M+59%

IT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.3B over the past year, up 6.5% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over IT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 75MQ4 2025: 76MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 75MQ4 2025: 76MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4%-2.6M shares
1 year-15%-11M shares
3 years-20%-15.6M shares
5 years-25%-20.8M shares
Available history-30%-27M shares

IT has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

IT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

IT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over IT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic58.0Neutral

IT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

IT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricITSector medianRelative
PE14x28x51% below
PE %13534 pts below

IT has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

IT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$201.25.1% below
20 week MA$181.25.3% above
50 week MA$179.66.3% above
100 week MA$277.031% below
200 week MA$345.745% below

IT has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

IT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$153.8$158.6+3.1%
2021$158.6$325.5+105%
2022$325.5$336.0+3.2%
2023$336.0$451.1+34%
2024$451.1$487.0+7.9%
2025$487.0$252.6-48%
2026 YTD$252.6$190.8-24%

IT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +105% in 2021 to −48% in 2025. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over IT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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