ISRG

Intuitive Surgical, Inc.

72
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ISRG has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ISRG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ISRG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ISRG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward36x$440—
Cheap52x$429-2.5%
Current53x$440—
Fair72x$596+36%
Expensive84x$691+57%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ISRG has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ISRG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

ISRG has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ISRG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$570.19
Downside-12%$387.39

Calculated from the latest close: $439.89 on Nov 12.

ISRG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UNH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH trails ISRG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ISRG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.03Q1 2024: $5.54Q2 2024: $5.82Q3 2024: $6.22Q4 2024: $6.42Q1 2025: $6.83Q2 2025: $7.18Q3 2025: $7.57Q4 2025: $7.87Q1 2026: $8.23Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.25Forward: $12.09
Q4 2023: $5.03Q1 2024: $5.54Q2 2024: $5.82Q3 2024: $6.22Q4 2024: $6.42Q1 2025: $6.83Q2 2025: $7.18Q3 2025: $7.57Q4 2025: $7.87Q1 2026: $8.23Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.25Forward: $12.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.09+47%
Q3 2026$8.25+9%
Q2 2026$8.71+21%
Q1 2026$8.23+20%
Q4 2025$7.87+23%
Q3 2025$7.57+22%
Q2 2025$7.18+23%
Q1 2025$6.83+23%
Q4 2024$6.42+28%

ISRG has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

ISRG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B+22%
Q2 2026$2.9B+19%
Q1 2026$2.8B+23%
Q4 2025$2.9B+19%
Q3 2025$2.5B+23%
Q2 2025$2.4B+21%
Q1 2025$2.3B+19%
Q4 2024$2.4B+25%

ISRG has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ISRG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$207MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $311MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $511MQ1 2025: $465MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $736MQ4 2025: $730MQ1 2026: $809MQ2 2026: $948MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$207MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $311MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $511MQ1 2025: $465MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $736MQ4 2025: $730MQ1 2026: $809MQ2 2026: $948MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+51%
Q2 2026$948.4M+69%
Q1 2026$808.6M+74%
Q4 2025$730M+43%
Q3 2025$735.6M+60%
Q2 2025$560.1M+80%
Q1 2025$465M+1879%
Q4 2024$510.6M+$717.8M

ISRG has the edge over UNH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

ISRG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 357MQ1 2024: 361MQ2 2024: 361MQ3 2024: 363MQ4 2024: 362MQ1 2025: 365MQ2 2025: 364MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 360MQ2 2026: 357MQ3 2026: 352M
Q4 2023: 357MQ1 2024: 361MQ2 2024: 361MQ3 2024: 363MQ4 2024: 362MQ1 2025: 365MQ2 2025: 364MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 360MQ2 2026: 357MQ3 2026: 352M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-5.7M shares
1 year-2.8%-10.2M shares
3 years-1.8%-6.6M shares
5 years-4.1%-15.2M shares
Available history-1.9%-6.9M shares

ISRG has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

ISRG Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2021-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2021-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2021-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2020-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2020-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2020-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash

ISRG has more cash than debt.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ISRG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.7Neutral
Stochastic73.5Neutral

ISRG's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

ISRG PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricISRGSector medianRelative
PE53x26x106% above
PE %192910 pts below

ISRG is trading at 53x earnings, a 106% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over ISRG on valuation relative to its sector.

ISRG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$428.12.8% above
20 week MA$397.411% above
50 week MA$449.82.2% below
100 week MA$483.99.1% below
200 week MA$424.93.5% above

ISRG's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 3.5% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over ISRG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ISRG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$199.3$269.0+35%
2021$269.0$363.9+35%
2022$363.9$262.7-28%
2023$262.7$337.4+28%
2024$337.4$534.9+59%
2025$534.9$577.8+8%
2026 YTD$577.8$439.9-24%

ISRG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over ISRG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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