IRON

Disc Medicine, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score IRON yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

IRON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

IRON's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

IRON PE Valuation

IRON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

IRON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect IRON's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

IRON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $83.23 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IRON and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IRON and LLY's risk to reward.

IRON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.42Q1 2024: $-3.31Q2 2024: $-3.60Q3 2024: $-3.91Q4 2024: $-3.96Q1 2025: $-3.89Q2 2025: $-4.44Q3 2025: $-5.32Q4 2025: $-6.01Q1 2026: $-6.64Q2 2026: $-6.60Q3 2026: $-6.36
Q4 2023: $-3.42Q1 2024: $-3.31Q2 2024: $-3.60Q3 2024: $-3.91Q4 2024: $-3.96Q1 2025: $-3.89Q2 2025: $-4.44Q3 2025: $-5.32Q4 2025: $-6.01Q1 2026: $-6.64Q2 2026: $-6.60Q3 2026: $-6.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$6.36-$1.04
Q2 2026-$6.60-$2.16
Q1 2026-$6.64-$2.75
Q4 2025-$6.01-$2.05
Q3 2025-$5.32-$1.41
Q2 2025-$4.44-$0.84
Q1 2025-$3.89-$0.58
Q4 2024-$3.96-$0.54

IRON is still losing money, but far less than before: $6.36 per share over the past year, against $50.36 at its worst in late 2022.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over IRON on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IRON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

IRON and LLY do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

IRON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$18MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$42MQ2 2025: −$48MQ3 2025: −$48MQ4 2025: −$43MQ1 2026: −$62MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: −$40M
Q4 2023: −$18MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$42MQ2 2025: −$48MQ3 2025: −$48MQ4 2025: −$43MQ1 2026: −$62MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: −$40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$40.2M+$7.6M
Q2 2026-$44.2M+$3.8M
Q1 2026-$62.2M-$20M
Q4 2025-$43.3M-$15.3M
Q3 2025-$47.8M-$30.5M
Q2 2025-$48M-$32.6M
Q1 2025-$42.2M-$8.6M
Q4 2024-$28M-$10.2M

IRON has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$190M over the past year, against −$166M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over IRON on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IRON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+219K shares
1 year+11%+3.7M shares
3 years+81%+17.4M shares
5 years+1115%+35.7M shares

IRON has 39M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over IRON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IRON Net Leverage

IRON's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

IRON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.8Neutral
Stochastic84.2Overbought

IRON's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

IRON PE vs Healthcare Sector

IRON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

IRON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$70.818% above
20 week MA$74.112% above
50 week MA$72.116% above
100 week MA$66.026% above
200 week MA$55.949% above

IRON is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

IRON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$104.4$105.0+0.6%
2021$105.0$29.1-72%
2022$29.1$15.5-47%
2023$15.5$57.8+273%
2024$57.8$64.1+11%
2025$64.1$80.3+25%
2026 YTD$80.3$83.2+3.6%

IRON's yearly returns have swung widely, from +273% in 2023 to −72% in 2021. It's up 3.6% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over IRON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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