IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

NCDL

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.

38
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

NCDL's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, above its usual 7.5x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

NCDL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NCDL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NCDL.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NCDL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$6.95-41%
Fair7.5x$7.58-35%
Forward7.6x$11.75—
Expensive9x$9.13-22%
Current12x$11.75—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NCDL's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.6x, in its fair range.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NCDL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect NCDL's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IREN and NCDL's risk to reward.

NCDL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$13.79
Downside-15%$9.99

Calculated from the latest close: $11.75 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IREN and NCDL's risk to reward.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NCDL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.23Q2 2025: $2.12Q3 2025: $1.97Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $1.12Q3 2026: $1.01Forward: $1.56
Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.23Q2 2025: $2.12Q3 2025: $1.97Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $1.12Q3 2026: $1.01Forward: $1.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.56+54%
Q3 2026$1.01-49%
Q2 2026$1.12-47%
Q1 2026$1.51-32%
Q4 2025$1.86-18%
Q3 2023$2.07+111%
Q2 2023$1.69+26%
Q1 2023$0.97-51%
Q4 2022$0.70-66%

NCDL has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

NCDL has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 5.1% for IREN versus up 54% for NCDL.

NCDL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2022$20.1M+54%
Q3 2022$14.2M+38%
Q2 2022$16.5M+120%
Q1 2022$14.2M+125%
Q4 2021$13M+162%
Q3 2021$10.3M+232%
Q2 2021$7.5M+175%
Q1 2021$6.3M+116%

NCDL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $20M last quarter, up 54% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was −$2.5B over the past year, against −$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

NCDL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$135MQ1 2024: −$98MQ2 2024: −$169MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $137MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $64M
Q4 2023: −$135MQ1 2024: −$98MQ2 2024: −$169MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $137MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$63.6M+71%
Q2 2026$61M-56%
Q1 2026-$13.7M-$4.9M
Q4 2025$28.6M+138%
Q3 2025$37.3M+$79.5M
Q2 2025$137.1M+$306.5M
Q1 2025-$8.8M+$88.7M
Q4 2024$12M+$146.7M

NCDL has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NCDL Total Shares

Q2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 49M
Q2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%-16.6K shares
3 years+122%+27.2M shares
5 years+1148%+45.4M shares

NCDL has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

NCDL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202226.9xHigh
Q3 202221.1xHigh
Q2 202215.9xHigh
Q1 202210.2xHigh
Q4 202110.0xHigh
Q3 202111.5xHigh
Q2 202110.8xHigh
Q1 202112.8xHigh

NCDL's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 10 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NCDL.

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

NCDL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.8Neutral
Stochastic47.6Neutral

NCDL's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NCDL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNCDLSector medianRelative
PE12x13x11% below
PE %993663 pts above

NCDL is trading at 12x earnings, a 11% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

NCDL has stronger trend alignment. IREN is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus NCDL above 1 of 4.

NCDL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.25.1% above
20 week MA$11.91.5% below
50 week MA$12.98.6% below
100 week MA$14.419% below

NCDL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 19% below its 100-week average.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to −93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

NCDL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$17.9$17.1-4.4%
2025$17.1$13.8-19%
2026 YTD$13.8$11.8-15%

NCDL has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key