IRDM
Iridium Communications Inc.
IRDM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has the edge over IRDM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
IRDM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
IRDM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
IRDM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 24x | $36.38 | -21% |
| Current | 31x | $46.12 | — |
| Fair | 40x | $60.39 | +31% |
| Forward | 68x | $46.12 | — |
| Expensive | 489x | $738 | +1501% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IRDM's PE is in its fair range at 31x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 68x next year's earnings.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT has the edge over IRDM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
IRDM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect IRDM's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
RDDT has the edge over IRDM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
IRDM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.68 | -55% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.51 | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.88 | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.99 | -5.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.06 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.12 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.98 | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.05 | +425% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.94 | +683% |
IRDM has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 35% for IRDM versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
IRDM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $245.7M | +8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $225.2M | +3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $219.1M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $212.9M | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $226.9M | +6.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $216.9M | +7.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $214.9M | +5.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $213M | +9.4% |
IRDM's revenue has held roughly level: $246M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | -18 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | -8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 23% | -5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | +5.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 28% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +0.7 points |
IRDM's operating margin was 13% last quarter, down 18 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over IRDM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over IRDM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
IRDM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $68.5M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $92.3M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $41.7M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $75.1M | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $79.2M | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $108.9M | +59% |
| Q1 2025 | $36.5M | -36% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.5M | +12% |
IRDM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $278M over the past year, down 9.1% from the year before.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over IRDM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IRDM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +458K shares |
| 1 year | +2.3% | +2.5M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -16.3M shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -23.9M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -16.2M shares |
IRDM has 109M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $30,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $50.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $65.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $70.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $123.1M |
IRDM has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has the edge over IRDM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
IRDM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.2x | High |
IRDM's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over IRDM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
IRDM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 34.5 | Neutral |
IRDM's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
IRDM PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | IRDM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31x | 16x | 85% above |
| PE % | 33 | 26 | 7 pts above |
IRDM is trading at 31x earnings, a 85% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT has the edge over IRDM on valuation relative to its sector.
IRDM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $46.1 | 0.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $47.5 | 2.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $37.3 | 24% above |
| 100 week MA | $31.2 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.2 | 27% above |
IRDM has stronger trend alignment. IRDM is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
IRDM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.1 | $39.1 | +55% |
| 2021 | $39.1 | $42.3 | +8.3% |
| 2022 | $42.3 | $50.6 | +20% |
| 2023 | $50.6 | $41.2 | -19% |
| 2024 | $41.2 | $29.1 | -29% |
| 2025 | $29.1 | $17.2 | -41% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.2 | $46.1 | +168% |
IRDM has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.