IRDM

Iridium Communications Inc.

44
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential25/ 100
Risk potential53/ 100

IRDM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over IRDM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

IRDM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

IRDM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

IRDM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x534x801x1068x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x534x801x1068x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$36.38-21%
Current31x$46.12—
Fair40x$60.39+31%
Forward68x$46.12—
Expensive489x$738+1501%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IRDM's PE is in its fair range at 31x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 68x next year's earnings.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over IRDM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IRDM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IRDM's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over IRDM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

IRDM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$54.52
Downside-53%$21.51

Calculated from the latest close: $46.12 on Nov 12.

IRDM trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IRDM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IRDM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.12Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $0.94Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $0.98Q3 2025: $1.12Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $0.99Q2 2026: $0.88Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $0.68
Q4 2023: $0.12Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $0.94Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $0.98Q3 2025: $1.12Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $0.99Q2 2026: $0.88Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $0.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.68-55%
Q3 2026$1.51+35%
Q2 2026$0.88-10%
Q1 2026$0.99-5.7%
Q4 2025$1.06+13%
Q3 2025$1.12+20%
Q2 2025$0.98+38%
Q1 2025$1.05+425%
Q4 2024$0.94+683%

IRDM earned $1.51 per share over the past year, up 35% from the year before.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over IRDM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IRDM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $204MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $213MQ1 2025: $215MQ2 2025: $217MQ3 2025: $227MQ4 2025: $213MQ1 2026: $219MQ2 2026: $225MQ3 2026: $246M
Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $204MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $213MQ1 2025: $215MQ2 2025: $217MQ3 2025: $227MQ4 2025: $213MQ1 2026: $219MQ2 2026: $225MQ3 2026: $246M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$245.7M+8.3%
Q2 2026$225.2M+3.8%
Q1 2026$219.1M+1.9%
Q4 2025$212.9M0%
Q3 2025$226.9M+6.7%
Q2 2025$216.9M+7.9%
Q1 2025$214.9M+5.4%
Q4 2024$213M+9.4%

IRDM's revenue has held roughly level: $246M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over IRDM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IRDM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $68M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $68M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$68.5M-14%
Q2 2026$92.3M-15%
Q1 2026$41.7M+14%
Q4 2025$75.1M-6.7%
Q3 2025$79.2M-21%
Q2 2025$108.9M+59%
Q1 2025$36.5M-36%
Q4 2024$80.5M+12%

IRDM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $278M over the past year, down 9.1% from the year before.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over IRDM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IRDM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 109M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 109M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+458K shares
1 year+2.3%+2.5M shares
3 years-13%-16.3M shares
5 years-18%-23.9M shares
Available history-13%-16.2M shares

IRDM has 109M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over IRDM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IRDM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20263.7xElevated
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

IRDM's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over IRDM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IRDM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic34.5Neutral

IRDM's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

IRDM PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricIRDMSector medianRelative
PE31x16x85% above
PE %33267 pts above

IRDM is trading at 31x earnings, a 85% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX has the edge over IRDM on valuation relative to its sector.

IRDM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.10.2% above
20 week MA$47.52.8% below
50 week MA$37.324% above
100 week MA$31.248% above
200 week MA$36.227% above

IRDM has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

IRDM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.1$39.1+55%
2021$39.1$42.3+8.3%
2022$42.3$50.6+20%
2023$50.6$41.2-19%
2024$41.2$29.1-29%
2025$29.1$17.2-41%
2026 YTD$17.2$46.1+168%

IRDM has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key