IRDM
Iridium Communications Inc.
IRDM's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 31% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 8 points to 19%. At 31x earnings, it's trading below its usual 40x. Its downside scenario is about three times its upside.
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V.
There isn't enough reported data to score NBIS yet.
IRDM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
IRDM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NBIS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy |
NBIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.
IRDM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 24x | $36.38 | -21% |
| Current | 31x | $46.12 | — |
| Fair | 40x | $60.39 | +31% |
| Forward | 68x | $46.12 | — |
| Expensive | 489x | $738 | +1501% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IRDM has the edge over NBIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NBIS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 68x | $22.45 | -83% |
| Fair | 114x | $37.67 | -71% |
| Current | 390x | $129 | — |
| Expensive | 666x | $220 | +71% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NBIS's PE is 390x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
IRDM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect IRDM's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NBIS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
NBIS has the edge over IRDM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
IRDM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.68 | -55% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.51 | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.88 | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.99 | -5.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.06 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.12 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.98 | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.05 | +425% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.94 | +683% |
IRDM has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
NBIS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $0.33 | +$2.61 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.28 | -456% |
| Q4 2023 | $0.64 | -36% |
| Q4 2022 | $1.00 | +$1.49 |
| Q4 2021 | -$0.49 | -156% |
| Q4 2020 | $0.87 | +89% |
| Q4 2019 | $0.46 | -73% |
| Q4 2018 | $1.71 | +434% |
NBIS has returned to profit: it earned $0.33 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
IRDM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $245.7M | +8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $225.2M | +3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $219.1M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $212.9M | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $226.9M | +6.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $216.9M | +7.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $214.9M | +5.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $213M | +9.4% |
IRDM has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | -18 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | -8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 23% | -5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | +5.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 28% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +0.7 points |
IRDM's operating margin was 13% last quarter, down 18 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NBIS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | $9.7B | +53% |
| Q4 2022 | $6.3B | +46% |
| Q4 2021 | $4.3B | +63% |
| Q4 2020 | $2.6B | +24% |
| Q4 2019 | $2.1B | +37% |
| Q4 2018 | $1.5B | +36% |
| Q4 2017 | $1.1B | +24% |
| Q4 2016 | $917M | +27% |
NBIS's revenue is growing: $530M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -115% | -112 points |
| Q4 2023 | 3.6% | -11 points |
| Q4 2022 | 2.5% | -14 points |
| Q4 2021 | -3.7% | -18 points |
| Q4 2020 | 7.4% | -9.5 points |
| Q4 2019 | 14% | -2 points |
| Q4 2018 | 16% | -14 points |
| Q4 2017 | 14% | -19 points |
NBIS's operating margin was −115% last quarter, down 123 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2011.
IRDM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $68.5M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $92.3M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $41.7M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $75.1M | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $79.2M | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $108.9M | +59% |
| Q1 2025 | $36.5M | -36% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.5M | +12% |
IRDM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $278M over the past year, down 9.1% from the year before.
NBIS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -$3.7B | -$3.1B |
| Q4 2024 | -$562.1M | -$316.2M |
| Q4 2023 | -$245.9M | -$138.9M |
| Q4 2022 | -$107M | +$319.7M |
| Q4 2021 | -$426.7M | -539% |
| Q4 2020 | $97.3M | -66% |
| Q4 2019 | $287.9M | +$289.2M |
| Q4 2018 | -$1.3M | -101% |
NBIS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$4.6B over the past year, against −$43M the year before.
IRDM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +458K shares |
| 1 year | +2.3% | +2.5M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -16.3M shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -23.9M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -16.2M shares |
IRDM has 109M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $30,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $50.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $65.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $70.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $123.1M |
IRDM has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
NBIS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -12% | -33.3M shares |
| 1 year | -32% | -115M shares |
| 3 years | -26% | -86.9M shares |
NBIS has the edge over IRDM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | $10M |
| Q4 2021 | $84.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $122.8M |
| Q4 2019 | $17.2M |
| Q4 2018 | $121.8M |
| Q4 2014 | $101.7M |
| Q4 2013 | $102.9M |
IRDM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.2x | High |
IRDM's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.
NBIS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2022 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
NBIS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
IRDM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 34.5 | Neutral |
IRDM's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
NBIS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.3 | Oversold |
NBIS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
IRDM PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | IRDM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31x | 16x | 85% above |
| PE % | 33 | 26 | 7 pts above |
IRDM has the edge over NBIS on valuation relative to its sector.
NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NBIS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 390x | 16x | 2,264% above |
| PE % | 62 | 24 | 38 pts above |
NBIS is trading at 390x earnings, a 2264% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
IRDM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $46.1 | 0.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $47.5 | 2.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $37.3 | 24% above |
| 100 week MA | $31.2 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.2 | 27% above |
IRDM has stronger trend alignment. IRDM is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus NBIS above 1 of 4.
NBIS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $179.7 | 28% below |
| 20 week MA | $199.9 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $163.5 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $110.0 | 17% above |
NBIS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 17% above its 100-week average.
IRDM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.1 | $39.1 | +55% |
| 2021 | $39.1 | $42.3 | +8.3% |
| 2022 | $42.3 | $50.6 | +20% |
| 2023 | $50.6 | $41.2 | -19% |
| 2024 | $41.2 | $29.1 | -29% |
| 2025 | $29.1 | $17.2 | -41% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.2 | $46.1 | +168% |
IRDM has the edge over NBIS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NBIS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $19.6 | $27.3 | +40% |
| 2025 | $27.3 | $87.6 | +221% |
| 2026 YTD | $87.6 | $128.6 | +47% |
NBIS has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's up 47% so far in 2026.