IRDM

Iridium Communications Inc.

44
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential25/ 100
Risk potential53/ 100

IRDM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META has the edge over IRDM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

IRDM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

IRDM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

IRDM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x534x801x1068x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x534x801x1068x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$36.38-21%
Current31x$46.12—
Fair40x$60.39+31%
Forward68x$46.12—
Expensive489x$738+1501%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IRDM has the edge over META in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

IRDM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IRDM's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

META has the edge over IRDM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

IRDM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$54.52
Downside-53%$21.51

Calculated from the latest close: $46.12 on Nov 12.

IRDM trails META on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IRDM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IRDM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.12Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $0.94Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $0.98Q3 2025: $1.12Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $0.99Q2 2026: $0.88Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $0.68
Q4 2023: $0.12Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $0.94Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $0.98Q3 2025: $1.12Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $0.99Q2 2026: $0.88Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $0.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.68-55%
Q3 2026$1.51+35%
Q2 2026$0.88-10%
Q1 2026$0.99-5.7%
Q4 2025$1.06+13%
Q3 2025$1.12+20%
Q2 2025$0.98+38%
Q1 2025$1.05+425%
Q4 2024$0.94+683%

IRDM has the edge over META on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META earned $29.32 per share over the past year, up 30% from the year before.

IRDM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $204MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $213MQ1 2025: $215MQ2 2025: $217MQ3 2025: $227MQ4 2025: $213MQ1 2026: $219MQ2 2026: $225MQ3 2026: $246M
Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $204MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $213MQ1 2025: $215MQ2 2025: $217MQ3 2025: $227MQ4 2025: $213MQ1 2026: $219MQ2 2026: $225MQ3 2026: $246M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$245.7M+8.3%
Q2 2026$225.2M+3.8%
Q1 2026$219.1M+1.9%
Q4 2025$212.9M0%
Q3 2025$226.9M+6.7%
Q2 2025$216.9M+7.9%
Q1 2025$214.9M+5.4%
Q4 2024$213M+9.4%

IRDM's revenue has held roughly level: $246M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over IRDM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IRDM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $68M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $68M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$68.5M-14%
Q2 2026$92.3M-15%
Q1 2026$41.7M+14%
Q4 2025$75.1M-6.7%
Q3 2025$79.2M-21%
Q2 2025$108.9M+59%
Q1 2025$36.5M-36%
Q4 2024$80.5M+12%

IRDM has the edge over META on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.

IRDM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 109M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 109M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+458K shares
1 year+2.3%+2.5M shares
3 years-13%-16.3M shares
5 years-18%-23.9M shares
Available history-13%-16.2M shares

IRDM has 109M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has the edge over IRDM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IRDM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20263.7xElevated
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

IRDM's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META has the edge over IRDM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IRDM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic34.5Neutral

IRDM's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

IRDM PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricIRDMSector medianRelative
PE31x16x85% above
PE %33267 pts above

IRDM is trading at 31x earnings, a 85% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META has the edge over IRDM on valuation relative to its sector.

IRDM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.10.2% above
20 week MA$47.52.8% below
50 week MA$37.324% above
100 week MA$31.248% above
200 week MA$36.227% above

IRDM has the edge over META on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.

IRDM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.1$39.1+55%
2021$39.1$42.3+8.3%
2022$42.3$50.6+20%
2023$50.6$41.2-19%
2024$41.2$29.1-29%
2025$29.1$17.2-41%
2026 YTD$17.2$46.1+168%

IRDM has the edge over META on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's down 6% so far in 2026.

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