IQV

IQVIA Holdings Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

IQV offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has a slight edge over IQV overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

IQV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

IQV's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

IQV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x191x255x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x191x255x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$271—
Cheap27x$218-19%
Current33x$271—
Fair36x$292+7.6%
Expensive124x$1,021+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IQV has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

IQV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for IQV, with profitability holding steady.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IQV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$333.86
Downside-21%$215.44

Calculated from the latest close: $271.11 on Nov 12.

IQV trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IQV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IQV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.29Q1 2024: $7.32Q2 2024: $7.70Q3 2024: $7.62Q4 2024: $7.49Q1 2025: $7.33Q2 2025: $6.90Q3 2025: $7.28Q4 2025: $7.84Q1 2026: $8.05Q2 2026: $8.04Q3 2026: $8.21Forward: $13.78
Q4 2023: $7.29Q1 2024: $7.32Q2 2024: $7.70Q3 2024: $7.62Q4 2024: $7.49Q1 2025: $7.33Q2 2025: $6.90Q3 2025: $7.28Q4 2025: $7.84Q1 2026: $8.05Q2 2026: $8.04Q3 2026: $8.21Forward: $13.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.78+68%
Q3 2026$8.21+13%
Q2 2026$8.04+17%
Q1 2026$8.05+9.8%
Q4 2025$7.84+4.7%
Q3 2025$7.28-4.5%
Q2 2025$6.90-10%
Q1 2025$7.33+0.1%
Q4 2024$7.49+2.7%

IQV has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

IQV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B+8%
Q2 2026$4.4B+8.7%
Q1 2026$4.2B+8.4%
Q4 2025$4.4B+10%
Q3 2025$4.1B+5.2%
Q2 2025$4B+5.3%
Q1 2025$3.8B+2.5%
Q4 2024$4B+2.3%

IQV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.4B last quarter, up 8% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

IQV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $568MQ1 2024: $377MQ2 2024: $445MQ3 2024: $571MQ4 2024: $721MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $292MQ3 2025: $772MQ4 2025: $561MQ1 2026: $491MQ2 2026: $360MQ3 2026: $667M
Q4 2023: $568MQ1 2024: $377MQ2 2024: $445MQ3 2024: $571MQ4 2024: $721MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $292MQ3 2025: $772MQ4 2025: $561MQ1 2026: $491MQ2 2026: $360MQ3 2026: $667M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$667M-14%
Q2 2026$360M+23%
Q1 2026$491M+15%
Q4 2025$561M-22%
Q3 2025$772M+35%
Q2 2025$292M-34%
Q1 2025$426M+13%
Q4 2024$721M+27%

IQV's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.1B over the past year, down 6% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

IQV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 186MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 177MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 174MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 167MQ3 2026: 167M
Q4 2023: 186MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 177MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 174MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 167MQ3 2026: 167M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-300K shares
1 year-2.7%-4.7M shares
3 years-10%-18.5M shares
5 years-14%-28.3M shares
Available history-16%-32.6M shares

IQV has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

IQV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xHigh
Q2 20264.2xHigh
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20254.1xHigh
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20243.7xElevated

IQV's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over IQV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IQV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.2Neutral
Stochastic76.5Neutral

IQV's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

IQV PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricIQVSector medianRelative
PE33x26x28% above
PE %38299 pts above

IQV is trading at 33x earnings, a 28% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over IQV on valuation relative to its sector.

IQV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$268.11.1% above
20 week MA$250.18.4% above
50 week MA$213.927% above
100 week MA$198.537% above
200 week MA$208.630% above

IQV has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

IQV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$154.4$175.9+14%
2021$175.9$278.0+58%
2022$278.0$203.8-27%
2023$203.8$231.4+14%
2024$231.4$199.4-14%
2025$199.4$226.9+14%
2026 YTD$226.9$271.1+19%

IQV has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 19% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over IQV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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